Turkey Day
Provided by Sportsbook.com
When glancing at the spreads for Week 12 of the NFL season, one thing immediately jumps out at you: double digit spreads. In the spirit of Thanksgiving, Sportsbook.com is offering both of its double digit spread promotions. With the “Revenge of the Turkeys ” promotion, you will receive an extra 50% bonus on top of your winnings if you back a double digit dog and they win outright. For those that prefer betting heavy favorites Sportsbook.com has something for you too. If you back double digit favorite and they double the spread, again you will receive a 50% bonus to your winning bet. With five double digit spreads to choose from, including two on Thanksgiving, be sure to enter this generous promotion.
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
At 9-1 the Pack have a stranglehold on the NFC North and more importantly they are a money making 8-1-1 ATS for 2007. Nonexistent earlier in the season, the Packer running game has improved greatly with the emergence of Ryan Grant. Dinged up, he could be in for a long day as opposing rushers averaged less than 64 yards per game against the Lions over the last four games. The Lions passing defense, on the other hand, ranks 30th in the NFL surrendering almost 258 yards per game so expect the reinvigorated Brett Favre to have another big game. The Lions’ inconsistent offense has a pathetic 43 yards total over the past two games on the ground and will most likely stick to their passing attack yet again. Although the Packers have had some great success over the past decade or so, they are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in Detroit . Sportsbook.com’s early bettors don’t seem too concerned about this trend as an overwhelming 88% of the action is on Green Bay (-3).
New York Jets @ Dallas Cowboys
Coming off a huge home win versus the Steelers, the Jets will need to pull an even bigger rabbit out of their hat if they expect to knock off the 9-1 Cowboys in Dallas . The Jets’ defense was impressive last weekend shutting down the Steelers but will face an even bigger challenge as Dallas scores 32.4 points per game while the Jets defense allows 27.5 on the road. Dallas looks like it will be without WR Patrick Crayton; however, Tony Romo will still have T.O. at his services which matters most. Over the last four games, the two have connected for 575 yards and 8 scores. Jets’ RB Thomas Jones was the first RB to rush for over 100 yards against the Steelers last weekend. He’ll have his work cut out for him again as the Dallas “D” allows just 84.3 yards per game on the ground. By looking at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as if bettors feel last week’s performance against the Steelers was an aberration as only 19% of the early bettors see value in the Jets (+14).
Indianapolis Colts @ Atlanta Falcons
Having lost two of their three games and almost all three, the banged up Colts are struggling mightily. Hitting the road to play the 3-7 Falcons seems like a good recipe for a cure. That doesn’t necessarily make them an automatic bet however. Against teams with a losing record, the Colts are 0-5 ATS this season while the Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog of at least 10.5 points. The Colts usually explosive offense is averaging just 18 points over the past three games while Peyton Manning has tossed 8 interceptions to only 3 TD’s in those games. Atlanta ’s pass defense has been stellar recently holding their last three opponents to under 156 yards. Their rushing defense, on the other hand, is pretty vulnerable yielding 124 yards to opposing teams so expect a heavy dose of Joseph Addai yet again. Given the Colts’ recent struggles it is surprising that 89% of the early bettors are backing them (-12) but then again we all know how much the public loves the favorites.
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