Follow@cimini

Zack goes over his ATS percentages in college football and the NFL this season. To sign up for daily or weekly packages click here for today’s picks.

Sports Handicapping NFL Week 10 from Zack Cimini on Vimeo.

Follow on Twitter@cimini

Zack has been enjoying a phenomenal year ATS. After last weekend’s games he sits at 78% or 80% depending on where you got the Bengals line vs the Jaguars. Either way he sits as the number one documented NFL handicapper in the country. To get on board with him, email at notjustagame23@gmail.com or text/call at 1-480-776-4478

Watch as Zack Cimini, John Cranton, and Hollis Barnhart breakdown Monday Night’s primetime matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Carolina Panthers.

Follow@cimini

My premium plays board has been set for a few days. Under today’s picks you can view the nine game weekend slate I have. Five plays in college football and four in the NFL. All college plays start after 12PM PST with the majority after four PM.

To view some analysis and free plays be sure to watch my NFL Sunday video with Kellyinvegas or weekly segments with John Cranton, and Hollis Barnhart via JimFeist’s Youtube channel.

Here are a few tips to help you this college football Saturday.

**Know your plays beforehand
Whenever there is a big college football board like today people tend to lose discipline. You must have your plays set before you arrive to your local sportsbook. I see it week in and week out where people start talking to their buddies or whoever and blindly placing extra bets. That’s exactly the same recipe that traps people in normal casino games. Stick to a winning formula. Go to your book with plays ready and stick to that throughout the day. If you get dragged into a negative day from improper discipline you have no one to blame but yourself.

**Parlays, live bets, halftime wagers, teasers
Full game ticket wagering is what 90% of the general population places a wager on. Live wagering is something that has taken off in Europe and is picking up steam in the United States. The crazy swings of a game aren’t worth a live bet in the late third quarter or fourth quarter. All that is doing is upping the handle of the sportsbook. There is a reason why the line is -110 on both sides.

**Lost value in line movement
This is an easy one to say but needs to be drilled in for a college Saturday. I see so many people have supreme line discipline for the NFL, NBA, and other major sports. But when it comes to college football it’s like a prism of feasting on Thanksgiving day. Everything is thrown out the window and you can gorge on anything you see in front of you. The magical stare at a prime SEC or Pac-12 game and jumping on the over on Saturday. Zero effort is given that the over/under total has moved 4-6 points since opening on Sunday. Don’t jump on a ship that’s set sail on Tuesday and expect to have smooth sailing.

Enjoy the games and let me know how you fared via twitter@cimini

Follow@cimini

TV ratings are a high indicator of where there true money is at. Just a few weeks ago Las Vegas finished in the top three on Monday Night football. Obviously with no major sports franchise residing in Las Vegas there is a main reason for this; finality in watching a legal sports wager fail or win.

Thursday ratings squarely will primarily be on tonight’s NFL Network broadcast of the NFC North matchup between the Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals. But lets not forget about tonight’s action on the court in the NBA.

There are two games in the Houston Rockets vs the San Antonio Spurs and the Dallas Mavericks vs the Portland Trailblazers.

Houston returns home after extending their undefeated win streak to five games. If you followed me on twitter you would have seen I said to play the over on the Rockets win total of 49.5 and the under on the Cavs of 58.5.

San Antonio meanwhile is out the gate a bit slow. They lost to the Suns a few nights ago and barely defeated the Atlanta Hawks last night. Tonight marks just the fourth game for San Antonio and will be on consecutive nights. Oddmakers always adjust the Spurs line because of Coach Poppovich’s penchant to rest his key players. Hence the Rockets are 4.5 point favorites tonight.

I think the Rockets are out to make a statement on this season and tonight. The loss of Chandler Parsons and Jeremy Lin has actually helped the Rockets. Young and rising star Terrence Jones has been able to move better without the basketball and is getting more shots as well. Trevor Arizona has been able to get open shots which he is capable of making with proper floor spacing.

In the night cap the Portland Trailblazers are coming off a resounding home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers. After a tied first quarter things unraveled quickly for the Cavaliers. Backcourt play was awful in that game from Dion Waiters and Kyrie Irving, while the Trailblazers could not miss on the offensive end. Several players scored in double digits as things got out of hand in the fourth quarter.

The line on this game favors the Trailblazers by just two points and has a total of 207.5. Portland is a team that typically does not put away teams which is tough betting for or against them on a consistent basis. But on a totals side of things you can find high value on the first half with them. They are one of the stronger teams at scoring a high amount of points in the first quarter.

Tonight I expect them to have their shots falling again and to feed off of Tuesday’s performance against the Cavaliers.

Play the Rockets -4 and the over first half on Dallas and the Portland Trailblazers, which is 104.5.

Interested in getting on board with Zack Cimini’s plays, call or text, 1-480-776-4478. A representative will answer and touch base with you on steps to get on board. Or email directly at notjustagame23@gmail.com

Follow@cimini

Watch as Hollis Barnhart, Zack Cimini, and John Cranton discuss NFL value on futures post week nine.

Updated NFL Handicapping Team Rankings

We’re nine weeks into the NFL season. NFL team handicapping rankings are a good gauge to find value as a bettor and to also see where slight favoritism is from oddsmakers. They can change rapidly but here are my NFL handicapping team rankings after nine weeks of football. Disagree or agree feel free to tweet me at the handle @cimini.

1. Arizona Cardinals– Arizona has covered four straight games and have been fantastic ATS all season. It helps facing team young quarterbacks and team backups, as they have with Derek Carr, Kirk Cousins, Brandon Weeden, and now this week with Austin Davis.

2. New England Patriots– The Patriots are clobbering teams. Those that ignored the media criticism after the Kansas City Chiefs loss are smiling well right now.

3. Indianapolis– The Colts have covered games handily and each game that they have won. Wins against the Ravens, Jaguars, Giants, Texans, Bengals, and Titans. Oh, and lets not forget their half point cover as an underdog week one against the Broncos.

4. Denver Broncos- They haven’t been the best ATS but with the talent the Broncos have there is no way they can’t be in my top five.

5. Philadelphia Eagles- At points this season they looked like a strong college basketball team; having big leads and letting them slip away to blow a cover. Lately though they’ve been on the winning side of the number.

6. Dallas Cowboys- The team may be in a conundrum right now but there is no denying that the Cowboys had the sharps and public fooled the first half of the season.

7. Miami Dolphins- Miami is on a three game ATS win-streak. They’re doing so with ease in beat downs over the Chargers, Jaguars, Raiders and Bears. Before that streak they had a narrow loss to the Packers at home that was aided by a fourth and long conversion by Aaron Rodgers.

8. Cleveland Browns- No one in their right mind thought the Cleveland Browns would have five wins and Johnny Manziel would still be on the bench. Early in the season the Browns were losing games but still covering (Ravens and Steelers games). The Browns may have just five covers ATS but they’ve won two key games outright–against the Steelers and against the Saints.

9. Pittsburgh– Oddsmakers sided against the Steelers at home the past two weeks and paid the price. It’ll be interesting to see how the shift in odds on a week to week basis works out with Pittsburgh.

10. Buffalo– Buffalo has quietly been a solid team in general and ATS. Their move to Kyle Orton likely saved Doug Marrone another season.

The Rest

11. Kansas City
12. Baltimore
13. Green Bay Packers
14. Cincinnati Bengals
15. San Francisco
16. Seattle Seahawks
17. Detroit Lions
18. Houston Texans
19. San Diego Chargers
20. Minnesota Vikings
21. New Orleans Saints
22. Washington Redskins
23. Carolina Panthers
24. Chicago Bears
25. St. Louis Rams
26. NY Giants
27. Tennessee Titans
28. Atlanta Falcons
29. Jacksonville Jaguars
30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31. NY Jets
32. Oakland Raiders