By Zack Cimini
notjustagame23@gmail.com

The past few weeks of spreads have been tough fares all around. Were still over .500 on the year and think this weeks slates look the best spread wise thus far. Most spreads are pretty tight with nine games being around the three point mark. Don’t fall for the trend that the home team usually covers that margin. Were rolling on six underdogs in those nine matchups.

Overall Record: 46-41-3
Last Week’s Record: 6-7-1

Miami +3- Miami’s 0-2 at home but should break off their slumping home pace. Ben Roethlisberger got away with a slow start last week against the Browns. This week Miami will be relentless with their pass rush, and show Roethlisberger’s rust.

Atlanta -3.5- After playing so well on both sides of the ball this season, Atlanta dipped on both sides of the ball against Philadelphia. Were believing that’s one of few let down games this year for Atlanta. Carson Palmer is a true remedy for opposing defenses.

Kansas City- Even with Garrard it’s going to be hard pressed seeing the Jags defense stepping up to the challenge. Too much Jones/Charles and a few deep balls to Dwayne Bowe. Jacksonville doesn’t have the fire power to mix it up without turning the ball over countless times.

Tennessee -3- Kolb has Philly fans and even Andy Reid wondering if one more great outing by him is going to cause a true dilemma. Without DeSean Jackson and a dinged up LeSean McCoy this one will be a true test for Kolb. He’ll get his yardage but won’t be able to do enough to overcome key mistakes.

Washington +3- This game has ugliness written all over it. It won’t be a game most tune into unless they’re die hard Redskins or Bears fans. Low scoring and mistake ridden. Based on how Jay Cutler’s last two starts have went we will side with the Redskins. Their defense has been sound thus far.

Cleveland +13- Trap game written all over it. New Orleans finally showcased a slight glimpse of last year’s offensive weekly outings. They’re still banged up at running back, and are playing against a respectable Browns defense. Most teams this year faced with double digit spreads have covered, we see that continuing.

Baltimore -13- Scratch what we said above with trends. Buffalo doesn’t know what they’re doing with CJ Spiller, and stands no chance moving the ball enough to score more than ten points. Ray Rice is dominating again and the Ravens will go for the kill after last week’s debacle.

Carolina +3- Matt Moore’s been riding the pine and will get his shot one more time. Moore vs. Smith. San Francisco was in a dog fight last week against an extremely banged up Raiders team. 10-9 in the fourth quarter and they finally put it away. There’s a lot of pressure on this game for the 49ers to regain some sort of hope. Those hopes will be dashed with this loss.

St. Louis +2.5- Rams are the real deal. They have what the Buccaneers don’t as well. An all around balanced offense with a rushing attack.

Seattle -5.5- Reasoning for starting Max Hall will finally be questioned after this road test.

San Diego -3- The house comes down in San Diego if they don’t find a way to stave off first and second quarter mistakes. They’ve been great at home. New England ventures on their farthest road trip of the year. It won’t be easy, but Philip Rivers will showcase over and over again for the umpteenth time why San Diego parted ways with Drew Brees.

Denver -8- Denver could easily be 4-2 instead of 2-4. McDaniels needs to give some carries to his tandem backfield especially with Moreno finally healthy enough. Oakland is banged up everywhere offensively from quarterback, running back to wide receiver.

Minnesota +3- Back at Lambeau field part two. Favre likely won’t have the throwing heroics like he did last season. We see this more of like the AP show. It’s been quite awhile since he has had an all world game. It’ll happen this week in a monster way. 160 plus yards rushing.

New York Giants +3- Predicting Dallas to finally step off on the right foot and get a win is the easy way to anticipate this matchup. We all know these two teams know each other very well. A close game is inevitable. Both Romo and Manning have had their woes against each other in the turnover department. New York’s just had a total team transformation since their loss to Tennessee at home.

Listen in on Week Seven’s Podcast