Posts tagged with “week one nfl lines”

NCAAF ATS Preview: BYU vs Utah

Thursday, 8 September, 2016

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Zack Cimini and Hollis Barnhart discuss week two’s matchup between the BYU Cougars and Utah Utes as apart of Saturday’s College football matchup.

School of Handicapping: Utilizing Mobile Apps for Wagering in Las Vegas

Friday, 26 August, 2016

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Zack Cimini breaks down his thoughts on the utilization of mobile apps in Las Vegas. What are pros/cons to depositing at your local sportsbook and betting from home?

Video: Handicapping 101–Making a Proper Wager in Las Vegas

Thursday, 25 August, 2016

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Zack Cimini gives some tips on how to make a proper sports wager when in Las Vegas. Hear his take on mistakes he sees every single day even from residents.

WEEK ONE FANTASY FOOTBALL STARTERS

Thursday, 4 September, 2014

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Let the bragging begin. If it wasn’t bad enough ten years ago, ego-boosting fantasy football fanatics can come back out starting tomorrow. Live scoring means that a touchdown and great start by a player means an instant “send” text to the league opponent.

Don’t let that 1-0 start by your buddy come against you. Get out the gate appropriately. I have a few under the radar fantasy starters to insert this week.

EJ Manuel
As low as I am on the Bills and Manuel this season I’m going to give the nod for Manuel this week. Chicago is an up tempo offense. With that style it leaves the all too familiar errors by Jay Cutler. Short fields should allow Manuel to have a couple of extra plus territory opportunities than normal. Chicago’s defense is nothing to write home about either.

Ryan Tannehill
If Miami’s offense truly is better than a year ago, than Tannehill should shine in game one against the Patriots. Though they did win in one of the games last year against the Patriots, they also lost a game that Tannehill was at fault for. After holding a 17-3 lead in the first game, Miami squandered the lead and lost thanks to costly errors by Tannehill. Later on in the season Tannehill redeemed himself a bit with a 300 yard game against the Patriots. The addition of Revis will score people away from Miami offensive payers but look for Tannehill to shock.

Mark Ingram
Oddly enough more people are higher on Trent Richardson from Alabama rather than Ingram. Ingram’s role still remains undefined but he should see an increase this season. Pierre Thomas has aged and will fill in as the Saints third down back to replace Sproles. If you’re looking for a flex option or surprise starter look Ingram’s way. We all have no clue if Drew Brees is truly 100 percent. The Saints play calling could scale back from Brees’s normal high attempts to keep him from straining his body.

Eric Decker
One guy that should have been a buy low athlete in your league is Eric Decker. Decker caught a bad rap as the guy that flourished only because of Peyton Manning. While his stats did likely skew a tad there is no reason to think Decker isn’t an upgrade to the past Jets receivers. Remember in college, Smith had receivers such as Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey. With talent on the outside he can get the ball to his receivers. A matchup against the Raiders aged and banged up secondary is not a bad spot to start Decker.

Washington’s Defense
Lets not kid ourselves. A quarterback starting for his fifth team is a problem. Houston bridged their gap of signing or drafting a quarterback by bringing in Ryan Fitzpatrick for a season. It could get ugly real quick, and week one likely will be the beginning of a long season for Houston Texans fans.

Others: Derek Carr, Julius Thomas, Terrance Williams, Vincent Jackson, and Kenny Britt

Week One Handicapping Recap

Tuesday, 2 September, 2014

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clip-2014-09-02 13;48;02 from Zack Cimini on Vimeo.

VALUE UNDERDOGS WEEK ONE OF THE NFL

Tuesday, 10 June, 2014

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A summer goes by quick. Football fanatics consider this season their restless time period. Reading up on daily information for fantasy football drafts can only feed their football needs for so long. Trash talking fills the void for a few weeks and then preseason football finally takes over.

One area that can be a temporary look ahead for die-hard football fans is the week one odds that are already out.

It’s crazy to consider that you could place a bet on an NFL game three months from now. But in Las Vegas there are many people that will head to the ticket window and place a bet now. Some are locals that consider the line value worthy of a bet now. Others are tourists in town and figure they’ll make a return trip down the road to possibly cash out.

I’ve never been one to look ahead on lines because of sudden injuries and lackluster performances from teams of a year ago. But this year may be different. A lot of NFL teams haven’t changed the nucleus of their teams as in years past. Many coaches remain and the format is there to anticipate possible line value.

Here are just a few games that I believe there lies value on in week one.

St. Louis Rams vs Minnesota Vikings
This current line sits at -6 in favor of the St. Louis Rams. Teams that looked awful to conclude seasons typically roll that over into the next. Minnesota was one of the worst teams to finish out the second half of the year. Part of that had to do with their unsettling situation at quarterback. Freeman-Ponder-Cassel. None proved to be worthy of the starting job. Thus the Vikings drafted Teddy Bridgewater to hopefully solidify their quarterback issues. St. Louis on the other hand started to look like a true contender to be reckoned with as the season waned. Especially at home where they blew out teams such as the Bears and Colts. Jeff Fisher has this team primed to excel. Who knows who the Vikings will roll out as starter week one.

One can assume that it will be Matt Cassel. Veterans with average talent tend to struggle looking over their shoulder. That will be the case for Cassel as his days as starter will be numbered for Bridgewater. With a new coaching staff most players will be on a short leash. There just is too many roster moves the Vikings will be overhauling while the Rams have their teams intact.

Total San Diego vs Arizona of 44.5
Last year San Diego was one of the dreadful teams to watch offensively. They had a methodical way of doing things that sometimes won games and others caused problems. Due to the NFL’s high rate of scoring this line is basically at the median average. Simple enough to likely not attract eyes in June or July. Being formerly from Arizona I know enough about this Cardinals team to know they are a slow starting team.

Both of these teams have sound defenses, and veteran offenses. That should equate to simplistic offense in hopes of winning the game in the fourth quarter. One should know not to trust either Carson Palmer or Philip Rivers in September. This game should have the biggest shift in opening spread differential to gameday.