Posts tagged with “sports handicapping information”

Second Half Comeback Teams

Tuesday, 17 December, 2013

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Weighing all aspects of gaining an advantage in handicapping is premium to a seasons percentages. The platform for supposed handicapping sharks is to run the gamut with live betting, first quarter action and of course full game action. Many will also try to get their hands on second half action. Plethora of reasons could be involved. True logic based on what you have seen, offsetting a full game wager, and the notion this article is about involving second half teams.

College basketball is truly a game of two halves. A team can come out unfocused with poor shot selection and beleaguered reactions to a team coming out with more energy. Time and time again you will witness a team down by double digits at halftime only to turn it around in the first five minutes of the second half.

To a person that did not witness the game the final score would not resemble the battle the winning team truly had.

Coaches play the biggest factor in my mind in college basketball than any other sport. They battle the ups and downs of their team in all four phases of a college season up to March Madness. On the fly they have to make the necessary adjustments to give their team a premium chance of winning.

This season alone Jay Wright of Villanova made the astute but daring move to bench his senior Jayvaughn Pinkston against Iowa. Pinkston leads the team in points per game, but while on the floor Iowa surged to double digit leads for the majority of the game. With Pinkston on the bench Villanova was quicker on both ends of the floor for Iowa. It led to tenacious defense and open shooters on the offensive end. Over the final nine minutes and overtime the Wildcats made nine three pointers.

That was a necessary adjustment by coach Jay Wright that led to a tournament title in the Battle 4 Atlantis which ultimately boosts a teams camaraderie and morale.

A key number in second half lines for handicappers has to factor in top tier head coaches. They’ll make the necessary adjustments and explain it in harsh words behind locker room doors at halftime. Jim Boeheim and Syracuse have done this time and time again with his patented zone defense. Cracks exposed by a hot shooter or ball movement will be countered by the Orange. This has led to countless second half stretches where teams will go five, seven, and even nine minutes plus without a basket.

Other keys to look out for are great full court pressure teams. Coaches that sense their team needs a spark will implement their full court press to ignite a struggling half court offense. Perhaps the best team at this has been Louisville. That was with Peyton Siva and Russ Smith paired together. Its been a work in progress to start the year but Chris Jones should be able to partner with Smith to create the typical havoc of a press Louisville defense.

Before you rush to login on your favorite online sportsbook or to the ticket window at your state casino sportsbook, keep in mind these factors. The reactionary first half impulse second half moves will lead to an unnecessary downfall and losses.

Follow me on twitter @cimini or email me on any fantasy sports or handicapping related questions at notjustagame23@gmail.com

Key Tidbits Heading Into the Weekend

Friday, 20 September, 2013

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• Hall of Fame caliber players store away poor performances in their memory banks. In 2010, the New Orleans Saints lost to an Arizona Cardinals team led by Max Hall. Hall an undrafted rookie that year is now a quarterback in the CFL . In 2010 the Saints were seven point favorites as they are this weekend. Brees had one of his worst games as a Saint in that game throwing three interceptions. All of Arizona’s three touchdowns came from defensive touchdowns. You can bet Brees is ready to flourish this Sunday at home to rid his mind of that performance.

• In August, the Patriots and Buccaneers chose to have practice scrimmages against each other before their preseason football game in week two. That was the scrimmage that brought on the Tom Brady scare with a minor injury to his knee. Josh Freeman hardly played in that preseason game but Tom Brady did and went 11 of 12 for 107 yards and a touchdown. Be cautious in assuming Brady and the Pats will bounce back big in their matchup against the Buccaneers.

• Last season the Chicago Bears averaged 35 points per game against the AFC. 41 in each game against the Colts and Jaguars, 51 against the Titans, and a low output of 6 points against the Texans. Their defense was tenacious in those four games, creating fifteen turnovers and scoring five defensive touchdowns.

• Chad Henne has put up some gaudy statistics in games that you would least expect him to do so. In 2011 he threw for over 400 yards against the New England Patriots. Last season as fifteen point underdogs, Henne threw for over 350 yards and four touchdowns in an overtime loss to the Houston Texans. Both games were his season’s best statistical performances.