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Grab Week 10 NFL Handicapping plays from Zack Cimini. He is the #1 documented NFL handicapper in the country, and boasts a 60% college football ATS record as well.

Handicapping NFL games is tough in itself but Thursday’s have proven even trickier than usual. The AFC North boasts all four teams above .500 and will showcase the Browns at the Bengals. Cincinnati was the team in the AFC North that many thought would be the clear leader in the division. That is proving to be not the case, and the Bengals have been one of the more inconsistent teams in the division.

At the beginning of the season and last year the Bengals were considered a dynamite home field team. With the way they’ve played you’d figure they were poor at home. That is not the case as they are undefeated at 4-0-1. In fact each team in the division is 3-1 or greater at home.

Over their last three home games the Bengals are just 1-2 against the number. Depending on where you grabbed the line last week against Jacksonville they could be 1-1-1. The underlying problem is Cincinnati is not playing a complete four quarters of football. Against Carolina their defense self destructed, against Baltimore the play of Andy Dalton almost lost Cincinnati backers their money and then last week against Jacksonville the offense and defense were lackluster in the fourth quarter.

It seems that Andy Dalton is struggling to get on the same page for four quarters with his offense. Maybe it had to due with missing AJ Green or adjusting to Jeremy Hill at running back. Whatever the case may be he needs to showcase he can lead a team for four quarters. The Bengals should feel very fortunate their record is 5-2-1 with the way they’ve played.

Defensively, Cincinnati is showcasing they have too many holes to be more than a first round playoff team. They’re ranked 31st in the NFL against the run and that includes monster rushing games from a quarterback in Cam Newton and former quarterback turned running back, DeNard Robinson.

On the Cleveland Brown’s side of things one has to feel that wave of averages coming down on them. Not all four teams in the AFC North can continue at their pace of winning. Brian Hoyer has done a sound job but would be near the bottom five to ten in football based on his play over the last month.

They’ve also had three wins over very poor teams in the Raiders, Titans, and Buccaneers. Scheduling starts to tighten up a little bit more for them over the final half of the season.

Just like the Bengals their defense has been getting carved against the run. That’s shocking to say as the three teams that I just mentioned in the Raiders, Titans, and Buccaneers hardly have a running game as it is.

We’ve seen large point spread blowouts this season on Thursday Night Football. This is a divisional game and could provide a slow start for the Bengals, but I’d expect them to rise to the occasion and finally shake the ugly wins they’ve been tallying.

Grab the Bengals in a spot that should finally produce an ATS win.

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