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Week Fifteen Spread Selections
Only three more regular season weeks of a full slate of NFL games. Last week was a battle where some backdoor covers cost us a few games. Still we finished at .500 grabbing big wins in the primetime Monday Night games. Check and see who we have before you go to your sports book.
Last Week’s Record: 8-8
Overall Record: 107-98-4
San Diego -9- Just when you want to discredit the 49ers they hammer out a win, and just when you want to ride with the Chargers they disappoint. In order for the 49ers to have a chance they’ll have to ride the arm of Alex Smith. That’s never a good sign. As slim as the 49ers playoff hopes are, they’ll have to win their last two to have a chance.
St. Louis -3 – No line yet on this game but it should be a fairly close line either way. St. Louis has dipped a tad in their play lately, as Bradford finally showed some rookie signs last week. Getting back home, after three straight on the road should do the trick.
Houston +1- Talent wise like Jon Gruden was stating on MNF, Houston is towards the top of the NFL. Yet they love to hover and finish around .500. They’ll show against their divisional rival that they’re prepared to finish off the year strong. Who would of thought that Arian Foster would be far ahead of Chris Johnson as a back this year?
Jacksonville +5- Something about the Jaguars against the Colts brings about solid match ups every time. Last time the Colts were playing far above the Jaguars as nine point favorites and lost. Jacksonville has too much going with their running game right now. Jennings and MJD are a lethal tandem.
Arizona +2.5- 20 Punts combined will happen in this game. It’ll look like a preseason matchup more than a late season game. Jon Skelton gets the start again, and looks like the Cardinals want to set themselves up for a high draft pick. One thing Skelton did last week that we hope happens again, is that he protected the football. That hasn’t been the case for Carolina this year.
Cincinnati -1.5- Turmoil abound with the Bengals. What else is new? The fortunate thing for them is they play a quarterback that loves to throw pick sixes, just as much as Carson Palmer. If they get one early maybe the Bengals can show a flashback game of a year ago and handle business.
Buffalo +5.5- Miami’s back at home which means they’re bound for a loss. This is the classic big win slow start next game pattern. Except they never did anything offensively last game.
Philadelphia +3- Before in their matchup the Giants laid out all the schemes they could possibly think of. That still didn’t work. This time the Eagles will mix in more of LeSean McCoy. He is growing by the week as a bigger and bigger threat.
Dallas -6- The Dallas team that started off the year with high hopes, hasn’t forgot about week one. They had a no time left touchdown pass to win the game, only to lose on a penalty. It set the tone for the whole year. This time they’ll jump out early and often in a dominating win.
Tampa Bay -5.5- Drew Stanton had a horrendous game last week in the Lions win. His throws were inaccurate constantly, and drives really never got going. Luckily Aaron Rodgers missed a large part of the game, and the defense hung in their. Now that teams have footage of Stanton he is having a rough go.
New Orleans- +1- The Saints know the Ravens can be thrown on. Houston validated that as well as many teams have this year. It should be a shootout here but the Saints will show they’re a Super Bowl worthy team yet again.
Atlanta -6.5- It’s been hard to bare watching the Seahawks performances lately. They’ve been blown out by the Giants, Chiefs, Saints, and 49ers in a span of six weeks, and yet they still have a chance to make the playoffs. After another whooping by the Falcons you can waive those wishes goodbye.
Pittsburgh -6- A defensive caliber player such as Troy Palamalu just salivates for matchups like this. The Jets are reeling and it all starts at quarterback. Mark Sanchez has lost the LT/Greene running game he had earlier in the year. He adjusted and won some games with his arm, but in close fashion. Defenses have geared up for the pass now and the Jets have struggled to move the ball. An odd line but don’t be fooled on taking the Jets.
Oakland -6.5- If you missed out on watching the Cardinals Broncos game last week you’re lucky. Denver has lost all identity in a span of eight weeks. They let a rookie fifth round pick blow them out last week. The interim coach looked lost, and Orton did as well without Josh McDaniels to call the plays.
New England -14
Chicago -8
Week Ten’s NFL Spread Choices
By Zack Cimini
It’s a short NFL week as Thursday’s game makes us have to get our picks and lineups in a day early. Get use to it as the NFL has slated this for the next eight weeks. We’ve got your Thursday winner and another winning week ahead.
Overall Record: 70-57-4
Last Week’s Record: 7-5-1
Baltimore +1- Roddy White is expected to play not near full strength. He has been the catalyst to this offense. There other receivers our average at best and will force Matt Ryan into a few mistakes.
Cincinnati +7.5- Lots of points given to the Bengals here. The Colts have been fortunate to grab as many wins as they have, but in most games they play to the level of their competition. Cincinnati is going to play spoiler in a lot of games the rest of the season.
Jacksonville +1.5- One of the hottest quarterbacks in the league not being discussed is David Garrard. Buried on fantasy quarterback rankings he has outdone projections immensely. Houston’s bottom ranked defense is going to be in for a long day.
Tennessee +1.5- Miami is trying to rev up some mistake free football by inserting Chad Pennington. That’s a bad move to make when trying to move forward in years 2011 and 2012. Tennessee is going to embarrass Miami on their home turf.
Minnesota- -1- A season without Brett Favre not having mayhem surrounded by him and his team is just not possible. Minnesota’s ready to start rolling and get back in playoff position.
Buffalo -3- Win one…we think so.
Cleveland +3- The meltdown in the last four minutes that gave the Jets a win against Detroit, will not happen against the Browns. They’re playing fantastic football led by their defense. They’ve bought into Eric Mangini’s system and are going to be a team to reckon with next year.
Tampa Bay -6.5- Talk about a team that’s shut it down. Carolina appears ready to cut lose their long time coach, John Fox, after giving him no leverage the past few seasons. We all have witnessed Jimmy Clausen’s performances, this is a no brainer.
Kansas City -1- The last time Denver faced a double threat rushing attack, they were torched all game. The barrage of long runs might only happen in spurts this game but it’ll be enough for an ugly final score.
St. Louis +6- This will be a game that comes down to the last drive. The under is looking lovely in this one.
Arizona -3- Arizona is once again the favorite to take this division. This is a pivotal game but Derek Anderson should give the offense enough balance to pull off a few big pass plays. Arizona is also one of the better teams at home. Surprised this line isn’t more in the 4.5-5 range.
Dallas +13.5- Just when Wade Phillips gets axed watch the Cowboys step up and play to their talent level.
New England +4.5- Are the Patriots set for two straight losses to pull back to 6-3? It’s probable but they’ll cover this spread.
Washington +3- His whole career McNabb’s answered critics. The rest of this season he is showcasing himself for a handful of potent ional suitors, as he’ll be bolting from this toxic situation.
Week Six Spread Picks
By Zack Cimini
notjustagame23@gmail.com
Last week should have been one of our best weeks to date. We started the morning games red hot going 7-2. Then the afternoon games came and we took a beating like everyone else. Games that looked like blowouts on paper took a reverse fortune as all underdogs covered and some won outright. It just goes to show the mediocrity of NFL teams this year and makes for a fun filled rest of the season. Still we have yet to have a week below .500 and are glad to keep providing winners for everyone.
Overall Record: 40-34-2
Last Week: 7-7
San Diego -8- They’ve disappointed versus the spread besides for a blowout against the Cardinals. Even though this is yet another road game, the Rams are what the doctor ordered. They’re banged up all over offensively and just gave up forty four points to a previously winless Detroit Lions.
Kansas City +4.5- Houston seems to be regressing from their impressive fast start. Offensively with Andre Johnson not 100 percent they’ve had a tough time moving the football. Kansas City has got nothing out of Matt Cassel. If ever a week that he needs to step up it’s this.
Baltimore +2.5- Baltimore’s pass defense had their roughest outing against Kyle Orton last week, but they’re still number one in pass defense overall. Tom Brady will be able to dink and dump against them, but the Ravens have too much fire power offensively.
Tampa Bay +4- The Saints just look dismal offensively. Without Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas, Drew Brees has struggled to find the balance to blend with an air attack. It should be a low scoring affair decided in the fourth.
Atlanta +2.5- We’re real high on the Falcons currently. Their defense is playing strong and offensively they’re imposing with the amount of talent they have. Matt Ryan seems to be finding that groove back as well as Michael Turner.
NY Giants -10- Teams favored by seven or more this year haven’t done so well in covering spreads. Scratch that by the wayside and lay it heavy on the Giants. Three weeks ago it looked like Tom Coughlin was out. Now the Giants look like they can take the NFC East.
Seattle +6- Seattle’s been atrocious on the road but we just don’t trust Jay Cutler. Coming back from a concussion and an outing that is still replaying in Vegas minds, will take the points here. Marshawn Lynch should give Seattle enough to stem a double digit loss.
Miami- Aaron Rodgers will likely play but they’ve got too many injuries to compete with a team fresh off a bye week. Miami will regroup from their Monday Night loss and get their second win against an NFC North team this year.
Pittsburgh -13.5- Colt McCoy starting? Did any of you catch him in preseason action. This could be worse than Jimmy Clausen’s debut. No it will be.
Denver +3- Look for the Broncos to draw out long drives to keep the Jets offense off the field. That dink and dump style works, and worked to perfection against the Titans a few weeks ago. The play calling of the Jets just doesn’t seem to have patience, as witnessed by them almost blowing a lead by mismanagement last week.
San Francisco -6.5- It’s time for the first win to happen for the 49ers. The battle of the bay will have this crowd rowdy and pumped.
Minnesota -1.5- One team is going to come out this game 1-4. Minnesota seems to slowly be rounding and showing flashes that they’re on the comeback. Dallas on the other hand continues to meltdown and find ways to lose every week.
Washington +3- Washington could easily be 4-1 right now. The team has bought in to Mike Shanahan and is virtually winning with the same talent as last year. In some areas you could say they’re weaker. Donovan McNabb keeps making the plays when he has to, and will in this matchup against Peyton Manning.
Jacksonville +2.5- Talk about a quarterback that’s held his composure and fought off bench rumors extremely well. David Garrard ignored newspapers and the media and got two tough victories for his team. This will be a great Monday Night battle for first place in the division. We think that Vince Young’s weaknesses will be exposed more than Garrard’s.
Listen in on Week Six’s Podcast