Posts tagged with “atlanta vs portland”

FREE SUMMER LEAGUE PLAY: SPURS VS JAZZ

Thursday, 17 July, 2014

Follow@cimini

Free plays are 3-0 in the summer league. Today’s free play comes in the Spurs vs Jazz. The Spurs are coming off a resounding win yesterday, and the Jazz won in a rout Tuesday. The focus on this free play comes in the total.

Totals have floated around the high 150’s to low 160’s in the summer league. Lots of people have been cashing in on the over, but in these tournament rounds it’s time to start reversing those bets on the under. Individuals want to have eyes on them as long as they can, so they’ll step it up on the defensive end as well.

I haven’t been all that impressed with the Spurs or Jazz in their summer league half court offense. Bettors are going to look at the last game’s both teams played and see a lot of points. With the way these two teams have been shooting in the summer league this total should have been in the high 150’s.

Both are barely shooting an average of 30 percent from three point range. Utah is also not getting to the free throw line enough to trust taking an over. They’ve only attempted 55 free throws and have made just 33 of those.

The Jazz also have a shot blocker in Rudy Gobert who has been a key presence inside for the Jazz. A poor shooting perimeter team in the Spurs should miss those layup bunnies with Gobert’s presence.

My last variable in this under is the way the Spurs are handling using their summer league roster. Coach Ime Udoka is choosing to spread out the Spurs minutes like Coach Poppovich does with the Spurs. Poppovich can do that with the great roster he has. In summer league play though that is a disaster for inconsistency.

Twelve of their fifteen players are averaging over ten minutes a game. Eight are getting between 17 and 25 minutes. Take a look at other summer league teams and you’ll see this is not common.

Take the under on this game and go 4-0 on free plays. I also have three other premium plays available for today.