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The last division to be covered by Zack Cimini and Hollis Barnhart is the AFC West. We discuss each team and if they will get over/under their current set number for win totals in 2015. See what Zack and Hollis have to say on the Denver Broncos, Kansas City Chiefs, San Diego Chargers, and Oakland Raiders reaching their over/under win total in the AFC West.
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Zack Cimini and Hollis ‘Harvard’ Barnhart complete their win totals over/under division by division preview with the AFC North and AFC West. In this video they discuss the AFC North team’s in the Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, and Cincinnati Bengals.
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Hollis Barnhart and myself over the last three weeks have had a blast covering each division from a win totals stand point. We’ll wrap up the last two divisions with the AFC West and AFC North Wednesday. Certain teams mentioned in the videos that I believe of high value, I will document with via blog.
We’ll start with the AFC East and the New York Jets. All teams in the AFC East have a relative high expectation in terms of regular season wins. The Patriots lead the way at 10, Miami 9, and the Buffalo Bills at 8.5. The Jets are rated to finished in last place according to the win total of 7.5.
They have had change over unlike any other team in the AFC East from last year. A new head coach, additions on defense, and still have the offense that will keep fantasy football owners frequenting the waiver wire. Sports handicapping and fantasy sports can go hand in hand in a lot of cases but in terms of wins you can throw that out the window.
Last year’s Jets finished 4-12 in a season amidst turmoil. Mike Vick proved to be unprepared to be a valuable backup quarterback and Geno Smith had too much of a burden to carry the team. Defensively, Rex Ryan’s group failed to exhibit consistency levels of years prior. All in all though the Jets found themselves in numerous games against strong teams. Close losses such as on the road against Green Bay, at home against the Broncos, and against the Patriots late in the season. Winnable games that just did not go their way in the fourth quarter.
Todd Bowles should be a refreshing addition to a team that has the workmanlike players to field similar results that Bowles former team, Arizona accomplished.
Geno Smith does not have to be the quarterback we saw at West Virginia. The gunning days are over. He just needs to play a role on the Jets. Manage the game and not be a turnover machine. At times he has shown the ability to thrive in that role. Others the burden of being on a losing team forced him into undesirable situations.
Around the league you probably would have been able to start 5-10 quarterbacks who could have mustered an extra 2-3 wins in last year’s situation as a New York Jet. The majority of quarterbacks would have had comparable or worse results.
Expect the Jets to beset improvements from coaching to the players that will lead to wins in 2015. Change is not always great in the NFL but this season will prove to be a valuable change for the Jets. Vegas has the win total mark accurate at 7.5. Grab the over.
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Hollis ‘Harvard’ Barnhart and Zack Cimini discuss the AFC South division from a Vegas win totals perspective. Will the Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Tennessee Titans, and Houston Texans fall over/under their set win totals for 2015?
AFC South Handicapping Preview from Zack Cimini on Vimeo.
Hollis Barnhart and Zack Cimini discuss the AFC East from a sports handicapping perspective.
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This week Zack Cimini and Hollis ‘Harvard’ Barnhart continue their divisional win totals preview with the AFC. Monday, they shot videos on the AFC East and AFC South. Catch their takes on where they believe the win totals market lies with the AFC East division in the New York Jets, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, and Buffalo Bills.
AFC East Handicapping Preview from Zack Cimini on Vimeo.
Hollis Barnhart and Zack Cimini discuss the AFC East from a sports handicapping perspective.
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The MLB trade deadline will be set this time tomorrow. There have been plenty of big splashes that will spark teams. We’ve seen the Astros roll off some wins after they acquired Scott Kazmir. Of course if adding a new piece to the puzzle were that simple, people would be pouring their money into the sports markets on a daily basis.
Oddsmakers aren’t foolish either. Tuesday featured an inordinate amount of heavy favorites that made it quite an interesting day to find true value.
If you’re in Vegas or at the proper offshore book, you’ve probably dabbled into series odds from time to time. They can be of great value to land 2 of 3 games instead of worrying on a day to day game basis.
On this blog I want to shift the focus onto teams to be leery of this weekend. Teams with momentum value that carries spreads higher as wins keep happening.
New York Yankees
Not only have the Yankees caught fire at the plate throughout their lineup, but reports are they decided against trading for David Price. They feel they can land him in the offseason without burdening their prospects. That could be true or false but what isn’t false is that perception has been spun by the media. I’d be extra cautious this weekend in taking the bite on the Yankees at likely high prices.
Washington Nationals
Bettors are of pattern behavior. People love familiarity and trends. Last year the Nationals ripped off a nice double digit win-streak in August that catapulted them to the division title. They’re starting to win games again and have a crucial weekend series against the Mets. On top of that the Mets are coming off a couple of shaky home losses against the San Diego Padres.
Houston Astros
The Astros won a come from behind win against the Angels and then beat them again on ESPN Tuesday night. Their bats were the catalysts in both of those wins. Pitching has waned a bit and you have to wonder if their staff has a bit of pressure on them with Kazmir acquired. This Fri, Sat, Sunday series against the Diamondbacks is a tricky one. Arizona has won six of seven and has strong momentum at the plate and on the mound. This will likely be a series that I watch from afar with no plays from all three games from a handicapper stand point.
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