Football

POST WEEK FIVE WAIVER WIRE ADDITIONS

Tuesday, 7 October, 2014

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Five NFL and fantasy weeks are in the books. How many auction dollars do you have left to bid on this week’s waiver wire adds? There are some good ones to secure. Take a look at who to pickup post week five at the quarterback, running back, and wide receiver position.

Brian Hoyer
The Browns nearly came back from a large deficit week one to defeat the Pittsburgh Steelers. This past week they got behind again but this time were able to erase the deficit completely. Hoyer is getting the job done with Josh Gordon on suspension and a backfield that leaves a lot to be desired. Oh, and he is dealing with the media speculation of Johnny Manziel. Hoyer is getting the job done and barring health should be a solid fantasy backup quarterback.

Mike Vick
We all know a change is coming for a Jets starting quarterback, and Vick will be the guy. His reps Sunday came with the Jets already in a huge hole on the road. I won’t look much into that. I always said the Jets wanted to limit Vick’s starts to protect his health. Putting him in for a solid ten games seems to be a proper solution from New York management. Vick should be an asset and run the Jets offense appropriately.

Bishop Sankey
As bad as the Titans have looked it is probably going to get worse. As the season wanes rookie running back Bishop Sankey will surpass veteran Shonn Greene in carries per game. A few weeks ago against the Bengals Sankey showed some flashes. For some reason the Titans just don’t want to bring him on board as the feature back just yet. Pull him in as a waiver wire add before the big game comes from Sankey.

Branden Oliver
Before the flurry of owners rush to get Oliver, rest assured he will be only a short term lease. Using Oliver to snare an extra win or two can pay dividends but don’t expect him to overtake the Chargers starting job. San Diego is buried with injuries but none are expected to be the entire season. That means Danny Woodhead, Ryan Matthews, and Donald Brown will all be back in the fold sooner than later.

Ronnie Hillman
It seems like Hillman has been in Denver forever. He had a brief stretch as a starter a few seasons back that just didn’t work out. As a complimentary back he seems to have found a home. With Montee Ball out, maybe Hillman will show the maturation to explode and garner fantasy excitement.

Brandon Lloyd
How Lloyd continues to pop up as a fantasy threat is something else. Teams passed up on him and he rose to a Pro Bowl level in Denver. He bounced around after not finding a home. Now he is in San Francisco and seems to be Colin Kaepernick’s new favorite target. With Vernon Davis’s health status still in doubt, San Francisco will continue to incorporate four wide receivers sets with Lloyd, Stevie Johnson, Boldin, and Crabtree.

Odell Beckham Jr
Based on the pattern of the New York Giants finding receivers out of nowhere and bringing them to fantasy gold, Beckham should be one of the top adds in all fantasy leagues. Manning has brought fantasy worth to Larry Donnell and Beckham in a span of just five weeks. We’ll see if Beckham is the latest Giant receiver to rise to the top.

Andre Roberts
As long as Kirk Cousins is the starter it looks like he will lean more towards Roberts and DeSean Jackson. Owners of Pierre Garcon have no clue what to do with him. At this point he has to ride the pine until he has another breakout game. With as poor as the Redskins defense has looked, the Redskins will be throwing it quite often.

HANDICAPPING MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SEAHAWKS VS REDSKINS

Monday, 6 October, 2014

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Sunday was fantastic for myself in ATS plays, winning three of four games. Monday night is the last of week five and features an NFC matchup between the Seahawks and Washington Redskins. The opening line of this game was around a touchdown to a touchdown and a half. Currently it sits at 8-8.5.

Lets not forget that it was just two playoffs ago these two teams met in a wild card matchup in Washington. It’s been a reversal of sorts for both teams since that game. Seattle has propelled to a dominant force while Washington has regressed since that game where RG3’s career has seemingly changed forever. But in that game the Redskins had a 14-0 lead before things unraveled. Clearly both of these teams are much different since then but it’s something to keep in mind for some of the veterans on both of these teams.

Seattle is the team that the public and professional sports bettors have come to love. Over the last few seasons they’ve been cash cows in the regular season and playoffs. But is the value a little too high tonight in Washington?

There is reason to believe that to be the case. Both teams are coming off of bye weeks. The last games played for both teams were head scratchers to their coaching staffs. Seattle let a double digit lead against the Broncos whittle away to a tie and overtime against Denver. They did win the game but that is not in the fashion the Seahawks would have liked. Washington on the other hand is coming off a complete meltdown to a surging Giants team. On a national televised CBS Thursday night game the Redskins were thumped in a disgraceful manner.

That thumping and Seattle’s perceived dominance is why this line is as high as it is. You do not typically see road teams this high of a favorite against a team perceived to win six to nine games. Typically this high of a spread would only be seen against a team projected to win five or less.

Breaking down Seattle’s last ten games results tell you that they are not the juggernaut ATS machine they once were in the early stages of 2013 and in 2012. They got a gift of a cover against Denver, faltered in San Diego, and beat up on an overwhelmed Green Bay team on a Thursday opening game for 2014. In the 2013 playoffs people have lime lighted their Super Bowl dominating win and cast it forward. But they did not defeat the Saints nor the 49ers in the NFC playoffs with ease.

New Orleans was a touchdown and two point conversion away from tying the game and everyone remembers how the San Francisco game finished.

In the final stretch of the 2013 regular season the Seahawks lost two games. One to the 49ers and one to the Arizona Cardinals.

For tonight’s Monday Night Football game I would lean on taking the home underdog to cover a whopping amount. If the Redskins had not been blown out at home against the Giants this spread would easily be 5-5.5.

COLLEGE SATURDAY FREE PLAY

Friday, 3 October, 2014

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**To view this weekend’s premium plays, click under the Today’s Picks tab above.

For a college football Saturday free play we will head to an early game between Ohio State and Maryland. Line movement has occurred in the favor of the home Terrapins. Maryland is coming off of impressive wins against Syracuse and Indiana that have pushed this line down. While I see Maryland as a hungry team sometimes that just isn’t enough even with the home edge.

Ohio State is a team growing on a weekly basis and has a clear talent advantage over the Terrapins. Expect the Buckeyes not to take this game lightly and come out with aggression early.

This is not Indiana or Syracuse. Play the Buckeyes -7.

NFL SUNDAY FREE PLAY

Sunday, 21 September, 2014

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I’m coming off a fantastic Saturday in college football, going 3-0. With Friday’s South Florida winner it was a clean sweep. Sunday I’ll look to tackle four premium plays. To view and purchase go to the today’s picks section.

For a free play Sunday I’m going to play Tennessee. Sure, Cincinnati has looked like one of the best teams in football but no team plays perfect for an entire sixteen game season. Flaws will rear their head sooner or later. This is a prime example of the Bengals terrific play in two games giving them a high tuned spread.

Tennessee is one of those sound teams that can have a few bad losses on the season. That bad loss a week ago at home against Dallas combined with the Bengals dominance presents an opportunity here.

Normally I’d say this game should be closer to 4.5 or 5 points. With it moving up to 7.5 this is a perfect spot to take the underdog Titans.

UPDATED NFL LINES AS OF SATURDAY EVENING

Saturday, 6 September, 2014

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Week one of NFL Sunday is finally here. I currently have a free play video between the Raiders and Jets under the today’s picks section. View it there and also take a glance at my premium plays package. Three NFL Sunday plays for just $50.

To view live lines be sure to check donbest.com. Here are the sides and totals of Sunday and Monday’s action in the NFL as of 430PM PST.

Saints -3 vs Atlanta, Total-52
Minnesota Vikings vs St. Louis Rams -3.5, Total 43.5
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5, Total 41.5
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles -10.5, Total 52.5
Oakland Raiders vs New York Jets -5.5, Total 40.5
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens, Total 43
Buffalo Bills vs Chicago Bears -6.5, Total 47.5
Washington Redskins vs Houston Texans -3, Total 45
Tennessee vs Kansas City -3, Total 43.5
New England Patriots -4 vs Miami Dolphins, Total 47
Carolina vs Tampa Bay -2.5, Total 38.5
San Francisco -4 vs Dallas, Total 51.5
Indianapolis Colts vs Denver -7.5, Total 55.5

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions -6, Total 47
San Diego Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals -3, Total 45

NCAAF FREE PLAY: VIRGINIA TECH VS OHIO STATE

Friday, 5 September, 2014

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For live odds visit DonBest.com

For the second week of college football I have three premium plays, I have the same in the NFL as well. For this week’s free play I’ll go ahead and discuss a play that came just short of making the cut for premium plays.

Virginia Tech +11 against Ohio State

No one truly does know the actual value of Ohio State. A week ago bettors were spurned as they took Navy. The game looked like it would go the way of the underdog but changed significantly in the second half. Bandwagon’s change quickly in all phases of life and the same thing applies to sports handicapping.

People that weren’t in love with Ohio State a week ago likely have shifted their thoughts once again.

But I’m thinking they were a week to early on rooting for the underdog. Virginia Tech has notoriously been a well prepared team especially defensively. On offense they do have a new quarterback in Michael Brewer, but it’s under different circumstances from Ohio State. They were expecting to replace Logan Thomas due to graduation and had a junior in Brewer to replace Thomas.

Take the Hokies plus the points. I have a feeling Ohio State will be the Florida of last year. Overvalued week to week but still will get money on them because of their name.