Friday, 24 October, 2014
Follow@cimini
There comes a time when a talented team gets overlooked on a point spread. Last week in the NFL it was the Denver Broncos against the San Francisco 49ers. Denver had struggled at covering the number like they did a season ago and public/sharp money got caught in the abyss backing the 49ers.
Tonight I see that opportunity with the Oregon Ducks. Sure, the Ducks have failed to cover a high percentage of games like they did a year ago. But unlike a month ago this team is starting to look like a top team. Defensively they seem to be getting better by each game, and offensively never was a big issue.
Cal is a typical Pac-12 team that likes to push tempo. It’s a great offense to have when you’re facing a team that doesn’t handle tempo and speed for four quarters but Oregon has no problem with frenetic teams. In fact they seem to morph into a better team when facing this caliber of an opponent.
Cal bettors will be quick to think that Arizona and Wash State had Oregon in check. Well, Washington State played Oregon well a year prior and Arizona seems to have their number.
I just don’t see a team of Oregon’s caliber sliding to the talent of their opponent three times in a season. Play Oregon tonight as they look to scorch the scoreboard and keep their longshot odds of getting a BCS berth going.
Tags:
akron vs ball state point spread,
alabama vs tennessee point spread,
arizona state vs washington point spread,
arizona vs washington state point spread,
boston college vs wake forest point spread,
byu vs boise state point spread,
central michigan vs buffalo point spread,
florida atlantic vs marshall point spread,
georgia southern vs georgia state point spread,
georgia tech vs pittsburgh point spread,
kent state vs miami ohio point spread,
louisiana tech vs southern miss point spread,
maryland vs wisconsin point spread,
memphis vs smu point spread,
michigan vs michigan state point spread,
minnesota vs illinois point spread,
mississippi state vs kentucky point spread,
nevada vs hawaii point spread,
north carolina vs virginia point spread,
north texas vs rice point spread,
northern illinois vs eastern michigan point spread,
ohio state vs penn state point spread,
ohio vs western michigan point spread,
old dominion vs western kentucky point spread,
ole miss vs lsu point spread,
oregon state vs stanford point spread,
oregon vs california point spread,
rutgers vs nebraska point spread,
san jose state vs navy point spread,
south carolina vs auburn point spread,
south florida vs cincinnati point spread,
syracuse vs clemson point spread,
temple vs central florida point spread,
texas state vs louisiana monroe point spread,
texas tech vs tcu point spread,
texas vs kansas state point spread,
troy vs south alabama point spread,
uab vs arkansas point spread,
ucla vs colorado point spread,
umass vs toledo point spread,
unlv vs utah state point spread,
usc vs utah point spread,
utep vs ut san antonio point spread,
vanderbilt vs missouri point spread,
vanderbilt vs wisconsin point spread,
west virginia vs oklahoma state point spread,
wyoming vs colorado state point spread Category:
Football,
Handicapping
Wednesday, 22 October, 2014
Tuesday, 21 October, 2014
Follow@cimini
Over the course of my sports handicapping career I’ve had one NFL streak similar to the one I’m currently on. That was in 2012 when I had a 25-2 month altogether. But typically my double digit streaks come in one sport and that is college basketball.
To be at 81% ATS through seven weeks of the NFL season is a humbling position. I’ll continue to give out plays that I see the beneficial line of.
I don’t have a record-keeping database here personally. But as a handicapper on jimfeist.com and kellyinvegas.com I have the archives through their sites to showcase this. Head to kellyinvegas.com to see for yourself my exact wins and percentages by each sport.
Interested in weekly, monthly, or season packages send me an email at notjustagame23@gmail.com or go to today’s picks to see the pricing.
Monday, 20 October, 2014
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Lets recap yet another wild Sunday in the NFL ATS. On my side of things it was another great weekend ATS. In the NFL I swept the board for the second straight Sunday, going 4-0. ATS winners were with the Dallas Cowboys, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, and best bet of the week on the Denver Broncos.
All played fairly well to their numbers except for the Cowboys being down by a touchdown in the second quarter to the Giants. They were able to turn things around and capitalize on big play after big play.
I do have Monday Night’s game as the last one on my NFL board for week seven. Thus far I am 20-5-1 ATS on the year for a whopping 80% in the NFL.
The current line has the Steelers at -3 and a total of 44.5.
Click on the TAB today’s picks to get Monday Night football’s winner for just $30.
Sunday, 19 October, 2014
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If you’re looking for consistency in ATS plays be sure to get on board with me. I’m 16-5 ATS in the NFL—-76%. To view this for documentation visit kellyinvegas.com where I submit the same plays via their picks archives database. Not on easy mark to achieve but it’s only through six weeks of the NFL season. Go to today’s picks and view my Sunday four game pass that includes MNF for just $65.
Instead of going the free play route I’ll delve into some handicapping tips for this week in the NFL.
** Limit your plays on totals. There are professional handicappers that steer clear of totals and it’s for a good reason. They’re difficult to pick on a consistent basis. Oddsmakers have a far and away better advantage on totals because of the unpredictability of miscues. Missed field goals, special teams errors (returns and muffs), defensive touchdowns, etc, can drag a total one way in a hurry. I always limit my total plays and it should be one of your trademark rules as well.
** Avoid playing the same team ATS on consecutive weeks. This is one of my personal rules because a winning ticket on a team you played the last week gives you a bit of a heightened influence on that team. You have a narrow view on them because you’re thinking of what they did for you last—CASH. Guess what, they’re not playing that team again this week and a lot changes in a span of a week. Ask people that bet Cincinnati after New England’s blowout loss to Kansas City. There are enough games to find better value without last week being an influencing factor.
** Prime time should not always be avoided. You shouldn’t be thinking about betting a prime time game after the Sunday day and afternoon games are complete. Or even Monday Night’s game on Sunday. Know your plays by before Sunday and stick to them. That gives you time to analyze the complete board and feel confident in your plays. Some people are scared to play the prime time games because of the money flow on them or to protect their gains or losses for the week. If you’ve analyzed the board properly and you like the Prime Time game, play it.
Saturday, 18 October, 2014
Follow on Twitter@cimini
View the rest of my premium College Saturday plays under today’s picks. I have three plays in-store including my line movement shocker
Rutgers football travels to Columbus for a Saturday Big Ten matchup against Ohio State. Odds have soared to -22 in favor of Ohio State and may travel further before game time. Fresh on people’s minds is the Ohio State game in which they obliterated the Maryland Terrapins. Line movement was against the Buckeyes before game time traveling down in excess of 2-3 points to just 4.5.
I think this week is the perfect time to capitalize on the underdog Rutgers. Rutgers is a team that isn’t the most talented but is a pesky team if they can avoid silly turnovers from Senior quarterback Gary Nova.
Rutgers is in their first year of the Big Ten, and has a good nucleus of upper classmen. All of these players have heard on campus, in the media, and in their football circles talk of heading to the Big Ten for multiple years. It’s finally here and the marquee game on all their minds has to be Ohio State.
Rutgers was always a pesk to Big East and AAC heavyweights even when overmatched. Just ask Louisville.
This won’t be an upset but I expect Rutgers to hang in to get an easy cover being spotted over three touchdowns.
Tags:
akron vs ohio point spread and total,
appalachian state vs troy point spread and total,
army vs kent state point spread and total,
ball state vs central michigan point spread and total,
baylor vs west virginia point spread and total,
cincinnati vs smu point spread and total,
clemson vs boston college point spread and total,
colorado vs usc point spread and total,
eastern michigan vs umass point spread and total,
furman vs south carolina point spread and total,
georgia state vs south alabama point spread and total,
georgia tech vs north carolina point spread and total,
georgia vs arkansas point spread and total,
hawaii vs san diego state point spread and total,
iowa state vs texas point spread and total,
iowa vs maryland point spread and total,
kansas state vs oklahoma point spread and total,
kansas vs texas tech point spread and total,
kentucky vs lsu point spread and total,
marshall vs florida international point spread,
miami ohio vs northern illinois point spread and total,
michigan state vs indiana point spread and total,
missouri vs florida point spread and total,
nc state vs louisville point spread and total,
nebraska vs northwestern point spread and total,
nevada vs byu point spread and total,
new mexico state vs idaho point spread and total,
new mexico vs air force point spread and total,
notre dame vs florida state point spread and total,
oklahoma state vs tcu point spread and total,
purdue vs minnesota point spread and total,
rutgers vs ohio state point spread and total,
san jose state vs wyoming point spread and total,
south florida vs tulsa point spread and total,
southern mississippi vs north texas point spread and total,
stanford vs arizona state point spread and total,
syracuse vs wake forest point spread,
tennessee vs mississippi point spread and total,
texas a@m vs alabama point spread and total,
texas san antonio vs louisiana tech point spread and total,
tulane vs central florida point spread and total,
uab vs middle tennessee state point spread and total,
ucla vs california point spread and total,
utah state vs colorado state point spread and total,
virginia vs duke point spread and total,
washington vs oregon point spread and total,
western kentucky vs florida atlantic point spread and total,
western michigan vs bowling green point spread and total Category:
Football,
Handicapping