Predictions

Undefeated Odds

Wednesday, 24 October, 2007

Provided by Sportsbook.com

It seems like every year football fans speculate whether a team can not only go 16-0 during the regular season but also make it through the postseason unbeaten. Of course, the last team that accomplished this feat was way back in 1972 when the Miami Dolphins went 14-0 in the regular season and 3-0 during the postseason. Fast forward 35 years and not one, but two teams seem to be viable candidates to accomplish this overdue yet impressive act. The most likely candidate to run the table is the New England Patriots behind a high powered offense that no one can come close to stopping. Through their first seven games, the Patriots are averaging an astonishing 39.9 points per game and have yet to be held under 34 in any game. The main reason for this ridiculous output in scoring is the addition of Randy Moss and Wes Welker to the passing game. So far, these two have combined for 1256 yards and 15 touchdowns and are both well on their way to exceeding 1000 yards. These are truly staggering numbers considering Tom Brady has never had a 1000 yard receiver in his tenure as Patriots signal caller. Even more impressive is the fact that Brady already has 27 touchdown passes, just 1 shy of his single season high. Brady is well on his way to shattering Peyton Manning’s single season touchdown mark of 49. Speaking of Manning, you can’t ignore the fact that his Colts are also undefeated heading into Week 8. The defending champs have looked as good as ever despite many defections from last year’s team. The passing numbers might not be as dominant as years past but their rushing attack is much improved and is churning out over 140 yards per game. If both squads remain unbeaten after this weekend, something will have to give the following week when they meet in Indianapolis . If all goes as planned and both remain undefeated, this could be the most hyped and biggest regular season game of all time. Due to the rate at which the Patriots have been drubbing their opponents, the Sportsbook.com had the early line of Colts +3 for their November 4th match-up. If this line holds up and they remain home underdogs, it is interesting to point out that the last time the Colts were getting points at home was September of 1999.

With the NFL season almost at the half way point, be sure to capitalize on all of the unique props at Sportsbook.com. Also, don’t forget to get your bets in on early to take advantage of -105 juice Fridays.

Will the New England Patriots go 16-0?

Yes +300, No -400

Will the Indianapolis Colts go 16-0?

Yes +1500, No -2500

Will Tom Brady break Peyton Manning’s season passing TD record?

Yes -260, No +200

Early Super Bowl Line

AFC -12.5, O/U 53.5

http://ff.connextra.com/sportingbetUSA/selector/click?client=sportingbetUSA&placement=Notjustagame_Sportsbook_txtlink

Heisman Odds

Wednesday, 17 October, 2007

Article Provided by Sportsbook.com

With Kentucky ’s 43-37 triple OT victory over top ranked LSU last weekend, Andre Woodson is currently the 3-1 favorite at Sportsbook.com to win this year’s Heisman Trophy. The heavy betting action on the Kentucky quarterback this week catapulted him into the favorite ahead of QB Matt Ryan from Boston College (5-1). If Woodson and his teammates can duplicate what they achieved last weekend as they take on the #9 ranked Florida Gators on Saturday, expect even more bettors to pile in. Meanwhile, Ryan’s next game is October 25th when the Eagles go on the road to take on the 11th ranked Virginia Tech on national TV. If BC can remain undefeated and earn a spot in the in the BCS National Championship game, Ryan could be a cinch for the award as long as he keeps up with his stellar play. Remaining unbeaten may be a tough task as their remaining five opponents combine for a 22-10 record. Other candidates that are getting a ton of love from bettors include Arkansas RB Darren McFadden (5-1), Colt Brennan from Hawaii (7-1) and Michigan RB Mike Hart (8-1). McFadden has been one of the leaders throughout the season because of his talent and stats, but the fact that his team is winless in SEC play should kill his chances. Brennan is also getting action based on the mind boggling stats he his putting up but also because his Warrior teammates are 7-0 and ranked in the top 20. Their schedule could hurt his chances as they have yet to play a ranked opponent. After a disastrous start to the season, Michigan is back on track and still has a legit shot at the Big 10 title. If they can pull off this miraculous comeback and Hart keeps up his dominant play, the senior RB will definitely garner serious consideration from the balloters.

Be sure to log onto Sportsbook.com to check out all of the Heisman Trophy odds. Also, don’t forget to take advantage of our -105 juice by placing your football bets on Friday. Below are the odds for just a few of the college stars in the running for this year’s Heisman.

Brian Brohm 10-1

Colt McCoy 25-1

DeSean Jackson 15-1

Graham Harrell 15-1

John David Booty 30-1

Steve Slaton 20-1

Tim Tebow 10-1

News and Notes for Upcoming Week 4

Thursday, 27 September, 2007

There is a lot going on that fantasy players need to know before submitting their roster lineups. We’ll break down several high profile players that are in question and some players that will be red dot targets for their quarterbacks this week. Also our predictions for fantasy sleeper and stud of the week.

Out in Miami nothing has shined offensively in a major way until last week. Miami’s defense has been out of character and statistically one of the worst in the league. After, Jason Taylor ripped into himself last week, we expect him and the Dolphins defense to dominate this week. It doesn’t hurt that Daunte Culpepper may be starting. All Chris Chambers owners that have been impressed with his yardage are just waiting for his touchdowns to occur. In the past when he scores they have been in bunches.

It’s a big game this week between the Giants and Eagles. Brian Westbrook currently is the number one fantasy back, but may not play with his abdominal injury. He has not practiced all week (normal), but is saying he is pain with any movement. This game means a lot to both teams, as 1-3 is all but a ticket to a .500 season. Do not bank on Westbrook playing though, as the Eagles have a bye week occurring in week five. This is a situation where you’ll have to be watching pregame shows up to the minute to hear on Westbrook’s game time status.

If you watched last weeks Ravens and Cardinals game you saw a great comeback that was thwarted by a questionable personal foul blow to the head by safety Adrian Wilson. Besides Wilson being ticked off, offensively a receiver by the name of Larry Fitzgerald appeared to vent his frustration for a lack of balls his way. One time the camera was right on him as he headed to the sideline after Leinart missed him wide open. With Anquan Boldin not at 100 percent, Fitzgerald should finally get his deserved looks. We expect the Cardinals success against the Steelers to only come through the air, and Fitz will get it done.

The St. Louis rushing attack has made all fans that drafted Steven Jackson right after LT, or even before LT’s fantasy coffin season. With Jackson out you’d figure the Rams will abandon the rushing attack all together. That shouldn’t be the case if the Rams want any chance of staying away from 0-4. The Cowboys and Wade Phillips blitz very well and will either force Bulger into errant throws or crush him. Brian Leonard, in his first start is not that bad of a play. He’ll likely outscore any of Jackson’s first three week game fantasy stats.

Fantasy Sleeper Of The Week: Wide Receiver, Andre Davis
Boy oh boy do the Texans look dumb or smart? They paid a huge sum of money for Matt Schaub, who thus far is looking like a true quarterback prospect. What makes them look dumb is how they blamed their offensive line for David Carr’s problems for so many years. Schaub has been sacked five times in three games, which is about two times as less as any pace Carr would have been on. Carolina spent backup money on Carr and it looks like he might get his first start with Jake Delhomme not at full strength. All of this tells you to either scoop up on Tampa Bay’s defense for extra points, or start the Bucs defense if you already have them.

The potential penalization of the Falcons dealing with cornerback DeAngelo Hall is causing stirs around the league. What should be the attention of fantasy owners is who should shine in this case now. Steve Smith….STEVE SMITH…did more with his mind tricks then he did catching a ball against Hall (1 catch for ten yards). Andre Johnson is declared out again with his knee, and that brings Andre Davis to the forefront. The Texans have no trust and their running game and know to win they’ll need to throw it. That’s why we have Andre Davis as our sleeper of the week.

Prediction: Fantasy Stud Of The Week
Frank Gore
For Gore seeing the Seahawks is about as fun as seeing a 37.5 point underdog (Syracuse over Louisville) winning straight up. Gore has his best games against the Seahawks. Last year he had 356 yards rushing including a 200 yarder against Seattle. He’ll continue to own them by being the high scoring fantasy back of week 4.

New Deadly Combo

Monday, 27 August, 2007

A change for the better has finally began to take place in Buffalo. They may have let two solid running backs walk from the team. Having let Willis McGahee and Travis Henry go could have been questionable, but the Bills feel that Marshawn Lynch can grow with the youth of this Bills team. Lee Evans has been making big plays during his short young career. Now that it seems that JP Losman has turned it on and matured the two have built a budding scary connection on the field. Changes have been many for this team offensively over the last five years. Finally, they’re going to be building forward this season on.

From a fantasy standpoint, Lee Evans already proved what he is capable of doing in 2006. He is an unquestionable number one fantasy wide receiver, yet is still slighted by fantasy owners. The days of surpassing receivers that have been a top the fantasy charts is coming. Move over Mr. Harrison and Holt, as Lee Evans may be the top receiver this year in the AFC. Reason being is that he is the Bills only main receiver target, as opposed to the majority of other teams that have even great strength at the second receiver spot.

Why are fantasy owners ignoring the facts and letting Evans slip? It’s foolish to not nab Evans by the third or early part of the fourth round. Especially if you’re an owner that stock piles early on running backs and misses out on the top five or six receivers. The Bills offense might not have the effectiveness of what has become the norm at the running back position. Marshawn Lynch will go through his rookie struggles but worries of his preseason struggles should not be alarming. If anything the balanced proportion of pass over run will just grow more in the passing department. Evans numbers of nearly 1300 yards and 8 touchdowns are surely not going to decline.

Last year when JP Losman starting coming along towards the second half of the season, a soaring link occurred. The Bills became more competitive, winning five games and losing three tight ones. Two by a point and another by three. This translated into Evans having plenty of monster games and scoring six touchdowns during the second half of the year.

Look out for both in your final drafts this upcoming week or so. Evans should start going more around his worth due to his preseason, but quarterbacks are under valued. Losman should be taken as a sure fantasy backup and may over take your starter if you do not snatch a top eight quarterback. The Bills should be exciting this year and be in a good spot for the future. With Chad Pennington struggling and Trent Green trying to adapt in Miami, the division could be a good spot for the Bills to have a good chance at going 4-2, or even 5-1 in it if they can steal one from the Patriots.

Team Fantasy Shakiness

Sunday, 12 August, 2007

On every team offensively there are usually guys that fantasy owners can be certainly excited about. There is a team out there though that has fantasy questions at the quarterback, running back, and receiver position. That team is the Jacksonville Jaguars. The biggest area owners know that they can get points from is the running back position. How is the second year tandem of Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor going to work together? Also, Byron Leftwich makes his way back under center with a potential short leash. Over at wide receiver the players that have been young and on the bend, are now veterans that have yet to get to the status the Jaguars expect.

Thus far Byron Leftwich has been a bottom tier fantasy quarterback. Besides a few solid games against the Colts the Jaguars offense usually is low scoring with a lot of clock eating. That meant Leftwich was never really able to shine unless the Jaguars were forced to move the ball, as they always are against the Colts. Another factor against Leftwich is their continued praise of David Garrad and making Leftwich sit down last season. It was the right decision as Leftwich was not 100 percent but he was willing to play. Avoiding injuries this season will be the obvious deciding factor on Leftwich’s fantasy value.

He can easily serve as a non questionable fantasy backup. Throughout his career he has shown that he can be a very dangerous quarterback. The Jaguars philosophy is not going to change with the offense so the unexpected is not going to happen with Leftwich.

Part of the reason why Leftwich may be struggling to be a fantasy elite quarterback is because he has only had one serious threat at receiver in his career. That guy was a fantasy stud for over ten years in Jimmy Smith but exited away from the game last season. Matt Jones, Ernest Wilford, and Reggie Williams. What’s a pathetic statistic is when you’re running back is the teams leading receiver, which was the case for the Jaguars last year with Maurice Jones Drew leading the team. Reggie Williams came in second with not even 600 yards receiving. Word out of the Jaguars camp is that Williams has been disappointing in training camp and may be on his way out.

Matt Jones and Ernest Wilford appear to be the clear cut number one and two receivers heading into 2007 by default. Last year everyone expected Matt Jones to fulfill high aspirations but early season injuries plagued him the rest of the year. All Leftwich and the Jaguars need is one of the receivers to step up as a consistent big play guy. Ernest Wilford is a fine complement but more of like a number three wide receiver in the NFL. It looks like the Jaguars are going to be like the San Diego Chargers. Not enough talent at the position to have anyone have great numbers at receiver, so expect low numbers spread out at the receiver position.

Where the Jaguars should be more then adequate is at running back. Maurice Jones-Drew has surpassed Fred Taylor on the board as he will get plenty of touchdown opportunities. He is also the apparent choice to be the main running back as soon as Fred Taylor’s contract is up. Do not under value Taylor though, who is still a major back in the NFL. Talent wise he is a top ten running back but his durability may be the worse. He has managed to stay rather healthy the last few years and part of that has to do with the Jaguars pacing his carries. With Jones-Drew likely to gain more carries expect Taylor to have a high yardage total as a result.

With Jones Drew being a low second round and high third round choice in most drafts, Taylor’s value should not be far from a fifth round choice. As his game has not changed only the Jaguars have become an even better force at running the football. Taylor will give fantasy owners the statistics he has come to be counted on for. Around 1100 yards and four to five touchdowns. Definite solid sounding numbers to us.

Green's Last Stop

Wednesday, 11 July, 2007

The Dolphins made a decision that arose plenty of criticism from draft experts and football fans of all sorts. Decisions are ultimately often criticized but did the Dolphins make a major mistake in passing on Brady Quinn? You could argue that if a team right after the Dolphins chose Quinn, but he landed in the 20’s. The whole time Miami knew who they wanted and that was Trent Green. It took longer than expected but the Chiefs and Dolphins finally came to an agreement. Time will tell, but for at least the next two seasons Miami is going to have a solid veteran quarterback who will allow John Beck time to learn and grow.

At 37 years of age, people would say Green is all but washed up. Years of quarterbacking would have had to take its toll on the average quarterback. Especially after seeing him having the daylights knocked out of him on a perfect layout hit last season. The truth of the matter is, Trent Green is a young 37 year old quarterback, as odd as that sounds.

He didn’t play a game in the NFL until 1998, and after a solid season with the Redskins landed with the Rams. From there we all become a little familiar with his story, as he went down with a preseason injury and the team turned into Kurt Warner’s. He was granted his leave from the Rams and spent the last five seasons having stellar seasons with the Chiefs.

In fact he stayed away from injuries and played every game from 2001 through 2005. During those seasons he quietly ranked amongst the elite in terms of throwing yards and overall performance. That was with a strong running game and basically a tight end in Tony Gonzalez. Both of those factors are gone, but Miami obviously feels Green is the main man. Can Green be the revival veteran that Jeff Garcia proved to be for the Eagles last season?

Since the Marino and Jimmy Johnson era ended the Dolphins have been scrambling to find an identity offensively. Meanwhile the defense has stayed strong and full of players such as Zach Thomas and Jason Taylor that have been Dolphins since the mid 90’s. The shift of transformation that hasn’t happened offensively may now catch up to an aging defense. This may be the reason the Dolphins signed an older veteran like Green to try and match the age of the defense, and go for some sort of playoff run in the next year or two.

With the strength of teams in the AFC that looks highly unlikely, but anytime a team is loaded with great veterans you never know what could happen. Miami has tried the veteran look several times in the last few years at the quarterback position. Jay Fiedler, Gus Frerotte, AJ Feeley, Daunte Culpepper, and the short lived Brian Griese all looked horrific. Fiedler did the best he could and actually got the Dolphins into the playoffs, but he was more of a leashed quarterback that looked good with Lamar Smith and Ricky Williams.

That trend seems to be a foreseen disastrous setup for Trent Green. There are signs of hope for him though. Nick Saban put life into the Dolphins even though they struggled early on last season. Even with his departure this team knows they can be a near or wild card team. New head coach Cam Cameron is a great fit for the Dolphins and he will look to spice up the Dolphins offense. The addition of Ted Ginn Jr. adds the new threat that teams need this day and age. So many games are decided by a field goal or a possession. Miami feels they can control the field position battle and get some big plays out of Ginn at the receiver position.

Where the problem may lay is on a totally revamped offensive line. They have a different projected starter at each position on the line, which could be a good thing. The Dolphins offensive line has been below average the last several seasons, which has kept Ronnie Brown from breaking out yet. As long as the offensive line holds its ground, then Green will be well worth the fourth round pick the Dolphins spent on him.

From a fantasy standpoint Green is a middle to high teen ranked quarterback. For several reasons he has to be ranked at that position. The Dolphins have a new staff and Green has to show he has fully recovered from his severe concussion last season. Plus, the negative results of Dolphins quarterbacks has to be on the front of fantasy managers minds. Green can be a spot or bye week starter but projections of his Chief days numbers will not happen. He is now relegated to being a second or third tier fantasy quarterback amongst the new class and younger veterans in the NFL.