Automatic/Don’t Do It

Top Target to Catch Ratios From Week Five

Monday, 7 October, 2013
Top Target to Catch Ratios From Week Five Follow@cimini Vincent Brown San Diego seems to have a rhythm to their offense that is leading to a ton of yardage. Sunday against the Raiders turnovers and a lack of a running game halted success in terms of points. But the Chargers have to be thrilled at how Vincent Brown and rookie Keenan Allen are performing without Malcolm Floyd. Brown caught eight of his nine targets Sunday and can be considered a solid number two/three fantasy wide receiver from here on out. Jimmy Graham There are silly quarterback to receiver/tight end in sync chemistries that are impossible to stop. Similar to how a basketball point guard knows when to throw a cross court alley oop or take over a game is how the connection with Drew Brees to Graham is. Basically Brees is the point guard throwing alley oops to Graham. Half of Graham’s touchdowns have came on jump ball/alley oop throws that Brees knows Graham can get. The Bears were the latest to prove incapable of defending Graham as he caught ten of his eleven targets. Kendall Wright Tennessee mustered a strong comeback effort to take a 17-13 lead in the fourth quarter. Things then unraveled quickly as the Titans couldn’t stop the Chiefs rally. Fitzpatrick struggled in his debut for the Titans for the first half before getting comfortable. Wright caught six of his eight targets with an average of over twelve yards a catch. Fitzpatrick can be a successful fantasy quarterback which means Wright’s chances of having solid weeks will be available over the next month. Reggie Wayne Wayne’s yards per catch are starting to diminish but his overall skillset still has some high strong suits. A few being his route running and hands. Andrew Luck is not going to stop looking for Wayne. He caught six of his nine targets Sunday. Hakeem Nicks 0-5, yes I’ll say that again, the NY Giants are 0-5. I feel bad for Tom Coughlin but the Giants are one of those great teams that fall via the talent pool they’ve kept. Teams are constantly revamping even as a champion. The Giants are learning the hard way that they should have done the same. Nicks has regressed tremendously but has had two good games out of five. Against the Eagles he caught nine of twelve target with over 140 yards receiving. Justin Blackmon Off the bat, Blackmon score a touchdown on a long catch against the Rams. Blackmon finished last season off strong and has the tools to be a top twenty five fantasy receiver. Due to the team he is on and coming off of a suspension many people didn’t know if he’d be in football shape. The Rams have given up a ton of yards this year but don’t be alarmed into thinking Blackmon is a one week wonder. He’ll put up his stats and caught five of nine passes against the Rams. Others That Did Well: Antonio Gates 7 catches/10 targets, DeNarius Moore 5 catches/8 targets, AlShon Jeffrey 10 catches/13 targets, Brandon Pettigrew 4 catches/5 targets, TY Hilton 5 catches/6 targets, Greg Olsen 5 catches/6 targets, Ted Ginn Jr. 4 catches/5 targets, Terrence Williams 4 catches/4 targets, Vincent Brown 8 catches/9 targets, Keenan Allen 6 catches/9 targets, Josh Gordon 4 catches/6 targets Performers That Did Poor: Danny Amendola 4 catches/9 targets, Golden Tate 5 catches/11 targets, Mike Wallace 7 catches/16 targets, Steve Smith 4 catches/10 targets, Larry Fitzgerald 3 catches/6 targets, Andre Johnson 3 catches/10 targets, Robert Woods 5 catches/13 targets

Week Five Automatics/Don’t Do It Options

Thursday, 3 October, 2013

Week Five Start/Sit Options

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Get in on week five action for automatics/don’t do its for your lineups. Yes it’s October. Are you already contemplating how you’re going to draft better for next season’s fantasy drafts? Let’s hope not. Here are solid options to submit as starters and who not to this week.

Automatics

Chris Rainey
The Browns running back should get a steady dose Thursday against the Bills alongside Willis McGahee. The Bills have been poor defensively on the road. Coming off a short week the Browns will look to limit mistakes as much as possible. To do that they’ll need to expand the running game more than they have in their two game win streak. Brian Hoyer has done it with his arm but they’ll tone it down and give Rainey and McGahee a fair amount of carries.

Cam Newton
Cam Newton is one of those number one quarterbacks that people have to ponder to start/sit each week. This would not be a week to do that, even though he is going against a solid defense on the road in Arizona. Remember Newton’s first game as a professional was against the Arizona Cardinals and he put on a show. Coming of renewed confidence after their week three win and a bye week, I’d expect Cam to continue to build upward and not downward.

Riley Cooper
Chip Kelly has to be shaking his head with his offensive approach being derailed by playing from behind. Last week the Eagles were just over powered by the Broncos ability offensively. For the first time since week two against the Chargers the Eagles should be able to attempt their game plan for a complete game. New York’s defense has not been able to stop anyone. DeSean Jackson and LeSean McCoy will get their typical numbers but this is the type of game that Riley Cooper can step up and have a fantasy impact as well. Yardage wise he can crack the eighty yards with a touchdown.

Ryan Fitzpatrick
Fitz gets his chance as the Titans starter for the next four to six weeks. With the team playing solid defense, Fitzpatrick will likely be able to play with calmness instead of being down by several scores like he was in Buffalo. For Fitz his woes in Buffalo had to do with his turnovers not his numbers overall. There was a time not too long ago that even you thought of picking him up off of waivers as a Buffalo Bill. He’ll have better value now on an underrated Titans team, and should be a solid play each week including Sunday against Kansas City.

Terrelle Pryor
A week after sustaining a concussion the Raiders made it clear there would be no quarterback controversy in Oakland. They further demoted Matt Flynn to third string. That should alleviate Pryor from any concerns of looking behind his shoulder or playing with increased stress on the field. A late game is going to cause some mental lapses defensively. Kickoff will be at 8:30PM which is the latest kickoff in quite awhile in the NFL. Pryor has the freelance escape skills and enough of an arm to equate to a viable starter this week against Oakland.

Others: Doug Baldin, Trent Richardson, and MJD

Don’t Do Its

Joe Flacco
Flacco had the type of day last Sunday that you just don’t see from a Super Bowl MVP. With Buffalo willing to squander a game, Flacco threw yet another interception with a chance to tie or win the game before the end of regulation. Almost all of his interceptions were in the “no business” zone. Throws he doesn’t typically make, but for some reason Buffalo had him in a tizzy. Getting out of a slump that Flacco is in doesn’t happen in one game. The Ravens will need to game plan a run heavy offense and slowly bring Flacco’s confidence back. Bench him this week against Miami.

Roddy White
White deserves to be commended for trying to play through his ankle injury, but it’s clear that he is no where near 100 percent. Teams are shutting him down and the usual potent Falcons offense is stammering with hiccups throughout games. Until White can be the opposite threat that he was before his injury, the Falcons may experience more bumps in the road. Speed loss and the inability to run crisp routes is hurting White drastically. You have to sit him if you drafted wisely at the receiver position.

Ryan Mathews
A few years ago Matthews was drafted as a prime back. Tabbed by all fantasy experts as a must draftee in high rounds. The bust label soon flourished for Matthews as he could not stay on the field. San Diego has seemed to bypass the notion of Matthews being the feature back they once drafted him to be. Instead they’re running a comfortable pass happy offense that gets more with their backs in the passing game than it does on the ground. Mathews has never had great success against the Raiders, and that won’t change Sunday.

Alex Smith
Notice when Alex Smith was on the 49ers and they were winning who was praised on the 49ers; the defense. In four games as a Chief it’s the same thing; the defense. Smith is the new Jay Fiedler. A game manager who can win by doing the bare minimum. Sooner or later the defense can’t hold and a quarterback’s arm will be called into action. That week is now for Smith. Tennessee will get after him and get one pick six off of a jumped eight yard route this week.

Larry Fitzgerald
Fitz’s best years as a receiver are starting to look like a chapter that he would want to relive in a different uniform. Arizona still has the same plaguing issues surrounded to their offense. No identity for a running game and an offensive line that is questionable at best. Carson Palmer is finding that out the hard way. With defenses able to blitz and scheme to the Cardinals weaknesses it may be another long season or Fitz. He did get a few touchdowns week one but that was against the Rams poor defense. Last week the offense was held to zero points until a few gifts by rookie Mike Glennon sparked a few short drives that the Cardinals capitalized on. Those opportunities are going to diminish this week against a stout Panthers defense. Sit Fitz if you don’t want to be disappointed by a poor fantasy outing.

Others: TY Hilton, Daryl Richardson, Carson Palmer, Geno Smith, and Kenbrell Thompkins.

Week Four Automatics/Don’t Do Its

Thursday, 26 September, 2013

Week Four Automatics/Don’t Do Its

Follow@cimini Week four is set to begin tonight with the 49ers and Rams. Remember the Panthers and Packers are on byes this week. If you’re not inserting a 49er or Ram into your fantasy lineup that takes away four teams of potential fantasy starters. You need to rely on your role players to get wins each week. Here are some automatics and don’t do its for week four. Bye Week Teams: Carolina and Green Bay

Automatics

Brian Hoyer Even though Hoyer threw three picks against the Vikings he did not let it rattle him. He’ll learn from those mistakes. This week is a huge test for Hoyer to remain a starter. Cleveland will need to mix in more run plays at home to keep the Bengals offense from seeing the field. Cincinnati’s defense is getting a lot of hype but is susceptible to the big play. They’ve faced the Steelers, Packers, and Bears and what keyed two of those wins were turnovers. Neither of those teams had the threat at tight end that the Browns do. Look for Hoyer to continue hitting Jordan Cameron which will open up one on one pass plays down the field to Josh Gordon. Stevan Ridley Ridley has been in a three week fantasy jailhouse. He’ll break through the bars this weekend in Atlanta. The last thing New England wants to do is stir up Matt Ryan and Atlanta on their home field. Matty Ice is one of the best fantasy quarterbacks on his home turf. In order to slow things down New England will depend on Ridley to sustain the ground attack. Expect this to be the first major contributing week for Ridley. Darren McFadden McFadden seems to be benefitting from having Terrelle Pryor as his quarterback. Pryor has not been declared out or available yet. Even if it ends up being Matt Flynn, McFadden is setup for one of his best matchups of the season. If Pryor plays you can easily expect McFadden to rush over 100 yards. We saw how the Redskins defense handled a running quarterback with Mike Vick. Pryor does it more and the Raiders will assuredly have a high amount of carries planned for McFadden. Vernon Davis St. Louis has had their struggles with their pass defense and may find themselves exposed tonight against San Francisco. Davis is the 49ers best option out of the backfield currently. Look for the 49ers to setup some different routes like the Saints do with Jimmy Graham to get the passing attack back in gear. St. Louis did a nice job at home against their divisional opponents last season. Not this time on a Thursday night and the 49ers off of two losses. Reggie Wayne If you’re looking for a player that ignites against a certain opponent it’s Reggie Wayne against Jacksonville. His stats over the last eight years against the Jags are mind boggling. Besides a one game hiccup in 2011, Wayne has tore apart the Jaguars for an obscene amount of yards and touchdowns. Wayne has been quiet in the stat department to start the season and is due too. Torrey Smith Geno Smith beat the Bills with big plays down the field to Santonio Holmes and Stephen Hill. Since their defeat to Denver the Ravens defense has been terrific. Allowing just six points to the Browns, and nine to the Texans. With how poor Buffalo has been against the run this is going to be the same recipe repeated by Joe Flacco and Torrey Smith. Antonio Brown Once Big Ben is dialed in with a player it doesn’t stop. Brown exploded against the Bears and gets an even better secondary to tear apart Sunday. Brown should once again rank as one of the top fantasy receivers for this week. Even with travel factored in by playing a game in Europe. Others: Rod Streater, Reuben Randle, Joique Bell, and Brian Hartline

Don’t Do Its

Jay Cutler Inside the division the Bears have not been a strong hold. That’s one of the reasons why they’ve had roller coaster seasons the past few years. Detroit has been one of the teams that has had Cutler’s number, especially in Detroit. A lot of that had to do with the front seven pressure constantly in his face. The offensive line has been better to start this season. But I don’t trust Jay on the road in Detroit to be a viable fantasy option. Andy Dalton The Browns defense feels they have the best defense in the division not the Bengals. They’ll get their chance to show their value at home against Dalton. I have not been overly impressed with Dalton. He has got the job done when needed but has thrown a lot of inaccurate balls to start the season. He’ll see constant pressure from Cleveland Sunday and that should lead to a poor overall day. Dalton will finish the week outside the top twenty fantasy quarterbacks. DeSean Jackson Jackson teased fantasy owners with a couple of big games to start the year. Averages are averages. Jackson has never flourished as a mega yardage receiver or touchdown reception guy. He fizzles as the season goes on for some reason or other. Look for Jackson to have a rough stretch over the next few games. Alfred Morris Call it a sophomore slump. Morris is in it and feeling the sophomore blues. Traveling to Oakland is not going to rectify Morris’s struggles. Offensively the Redskins need to figure out their identity. It appears they’re gearing to the look of having RG3 be a pocket passer and dropping back 40 plus times. The run has not setup the passing attack yet, and won’t Sunday in Oakland. Bilal Powell Powell found running lanes not an issue against the Bills, they’ll be harder to come by against the Titans. Powell is still a quality back to have based on the Jets offensive line. There will be games though where rookie quarterback Geno Smith struggles and it leads to a halt entirely for the offense. Depending on the backs you have, you should be in a decent spot to bypass Powell in favor of others this week. Donnie Avery Avery was a hot commodity amongst waiver wire pickups. Facing the Giants would seem to deem itself as a possible start for Avery. I’m never big on an offense that is not going to score much. That is what Kansas City represents. Avery will dot the fantasy spectrum on occasion, but with huge gaps of irregularity. I’d sit him this week. Terrance Williams With Miles Austin dinged up, Williams is next in line to see formidable action. I don’t think the rookie is ready to be an impact player in the Cowboys offense. Against the Giants we saw an interception down in the end zone that was clear miscommunication between Romo and Williams. Romo will be fine Sunday, but he’ll lean heavily on Jason Witten and Dez Bryant. Others: Daryl Richardson, Russ Wilson, and Larry Fitzgerald

Bucs Glennon Should Fare Well Starting Against AZ

Wednesday, 25 September, 2013

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Throwing in a new quarterback by going with someone that has no career experience would cause many to be worried. Ten years ago defenses would feed off of inexperienced quarterbacks. Not this day in age. Quarterbacks have seen the plethora of defensive schemes and are advanced in recognizing reads and where to go with the football.

Tampa Bay is going to test out their young quarterback Mike Glennon in favor of Josh Freeman. Freeman once stormed the league with a great season in 2010, but has fallen out of favor after repeated poor performances. Whatever Freeman’s off the field issues have been he is in need of a new situation. I believe Greg Schiano made the right move in not waiting any longer on seeing what Glennon can do.

The Buccaneers could easily be 2-1 even with last week’s loss at home to the Patriots. They let the Jets hang around enough to lose on a last second field goal. Against the Saints their defense was stout. It setup the offense with a short field on their only offensive touchdown of the game, and scored the other. Frankly, Freeman’s performance in that game should have had him on the bench.

You don’t want to lose your team this early in the season, and the Buccaneers at 0-3 are right on the cusp. They’ve signed some key veteran free agents that may value their contract dollars over their performance if things keep getting worse. Moving to Glennon bolsters the team to strive extra and see what happens. The NFC is already showing cracks in the NFC North and East divisions and the Falcons are only a game ahead of the Buccaneers.

Glennon is a big quarterback that is going to need time to unleash to his wide receivers Mike Williams and Vincent Jackson. This week against the Cardinals I’d expect the Bucs to give Doug Martin his biggest load of the year. If he can establish the run I do not see Glennon having an issue completing pass plays down the field to his big play receivers. Arizona has been suspect at allotting receiving yards, especially to tight ends.

Last week the Saints abandoned the rushing game early as they could not run the ball against the Cardinals. Still, even with the Cards defense knowing that Brees was throwing the football each down they could not prevent the Saints passing attack. Brees receivers didn’t even have a big day, it was all Jimmy Graham.

Obviously, Brees and Glennon are on opposite sides of the spectrum in terms of quarterbacking. But having a home edge and a basic offensive game plan should keep the Buccaneers in this game. They’ll need to rely on their pressuring defense to create turnovers. Turnovers have been Carson Palmer’s enemy on the road. The last two years he has thrown an interception on the road every game but one.

You can easily say he had a better running game in those environments in Oakland and Cincinnati as well.

Coming into this season Glennon knew he would likely get a chance to start. The media has been on Josh Freeman and the squabbles amongst the Buccaneers staff on his capabilities. He should be ready for this moment, and this is a good spot for him to get a start before the bye week.

This team is going to come out hard to grab a win to go into the bye week. All Glennon has to do is protect the football, as Palmer will be good for at least one if not more interceptions. If the Buccaneers can get an early lead, they should be able to protect it.

Don’t be surprised to see Glennon be the latest young quarterback to win his first game as a starter.

Week Three Automatics/Don’t Do Its

Wednesday, 18 September, 2013

Week Three Automatics/Don’t Do Its

Follow@cimini Kansas City and Philadelphia kickoff week three. Notjustagame.com has your automatic starters and don’t do it’s from players that garner extra thinking before inserting or benching in your fantasy football lineups.

Automatics

Alex Smith Smith has done enough with his legs and arm to be a borderline fantasy backup quarterback. If there was an opportunity for Smith to solidify himself it is this week. Philadelphia’s defense struggled poorly in the preseason and it has carried over to the first two games of the regular season. Philip Rivers Sometimes a name gives more positive attention to a team than it should. I think that’s the case for Greg Williams and the Titans defense. For the first two weeks they faced Big Ben and Matt Schaub. Schaub has shown to be a second half quarterback the first two weeks of the year, and we all know the issues going on in Pittsburgh. Rivers on the other hand has played well in both of San Diego’s games. Rivers seems to be meshing well with his new head coach and offensive coordinator in Ken Whisenhunt. Look for San Diego to continue calling proper plays and Rivers to deliver solid stats. DeAngelo Williams Carolina is catching a lot of negativity for their sluggish finishes to games. But it is nowhere near how poor the Giants have played. After Knowshown Moreno gashed the Giants defense, you can expect Williams to continue that success Sunday. Then maybe the Panthers will try to open up the passing game with Cam Newton. Joique Bell When given the opportunity Bell has flourished. He’ll have a chance to crack the top eight fantasy backs this week going up against the Washington Redskins poor defense. What’s good about Bell is he matches his yards with touchdowns with his chances on the field. Vincent Jackson To propel Josh Freeman out of his misery and back to the capable quarterback he is, the Buccaneers are going to need to force feed the ball to Jackson. There is nothing wrong with that as Jackson has proved he can be targeted and get the Buccaneers offense rolling. Look for Tampa Bay to revamp their offensive strategy and let Freeman gun it down the field against the Patriots this week. Jackson and Mike Williams should both be top twenty fantasy wideouts this week. Harry Douglas Matt Ryan is a gunslinger and is heading to Miami to deliver the Dolphins their first loss. Miami is a pressure style defense that thrives off of sacks. They were able to get after Andrew Luck and Brandon Weeden to propel the Fins to victory the first two weeks of the season. This week Miami’s defense will take a step back against a quick release quarterback such as Matt Ryan. Douglas will continue his spurt of yardage but with an added touchdown. Mohammed Sanu Sanu offers a low risk high reward, and I think he is one of the sleepers still left on a ton of waiver wires in leagues. Green Bay’s off to a hot start offensively but if it were not for the way Aaron Rodgers has played, their poor pass defense would be a hot topic. They’ve given up a ton of yards to RG3 and Colin Kaepernick in the first two weeks of the season, and are prone to giving up the big play. Expect Andy Dalton to look in Sanu’s direction for blown coverages off of extensive help by Green Bay on the other side to AJ Green. Others: Jason Witten, Chris Givens, James Jones, Danny Woodhead, Santana Moss, Reuben Randle, Kyle Williams, Terrelle Pryor, Cecil Shorts, Emmanuel Sanders.

Don’t Do It

Carson Palmer New Orleans defense has been a force to start the year, and it has done so with blitzes. Carson Palmer is one of those hot and cold quarterbacks that will be tested against the Saints blitz this week. With Larry Fitzgerald not at 100 percent and Palmer still getting acclimated to the team, I would watchout for one of Palmer’s patented three to four turnover type of games. Arizona has notoriously played poor on the road and great at home. Drew Brees should also want revenge after losing to a Max Hall led Arizona Cardinals team in 2010. Tom Brady There comes a time when even the great quarterbacks struggle. Brady was irate the entire game against the Jets and had one of his worst completion percentage games as a quarterback (48%). Sometimes extended time following a game is good. This time coming off of a Thursday game with a player of Brady’s caliber is going to be a bad sign. His young receivers aren’t going to flourish against Revis and company. That may force Brady to press more than he would like. These two teams scrimmaged against each other in August when the Brady knee injury rumors ran rampant, and also played a preseason game against each other. This will be a much lower scoring game than fantasy football owners of Tom Brady would like to see. Russ Wilson Seattle’s offense is a bit different when you’re preparing to witness a blowout. Everyone knows Jacksonville has about as small a chance to win this game as Seattle did against New Orleans as a 7-9 division winner; wait the Seahawks did win. Anyways Seattle blows teams out with defense and a strong running game. Even last week’s 26 point win over San Francisco did not feature too much from Wilson. They’ll pound away at Jacksonville’s atrocious run defense and keep things basic with Wilson. Daryl Richardson Dallas has changed their ways on defense and has utilized it’s speed for relentless blitzes the first two weeks of the season. St. Louis looks to be balking on their move of promoting Richardson and letting Steven Jackson go. Richardson has averaged a poor average of just 3.3 yards per carry in two games. He is starting to look like a true 7th round pick and won’t have any success against the Cowboys this weekend. DeMarco Murray I’ve recommended sitting Murray for quite awhile now. In PPR leagues you may be able to get away with plugging him in your lineup. Standard leagues it shouldn’t even be thought of until you see consistency in the Cowboys ground game. Murray’s ineffectiveness might not be all on him, but Dallas isn’t showing the balance of pass/run to seek Murray as a starter. Though Dallas has been much better in pass protection, run blocking has been woeful. Alfred Morris Without the read option Morris’s stats are tumbling. Owners that strictly pay attention to weekly stats need to watch game footage and determine for themselves that Morris is declining with RG3’s poor performances. Detroit’s defense may be wreckless with penalties but they’re stout against the run. They shut down Adrian Peterson after he broke a long touchdown, and nullified Arizona from any success last week. They’ll do the same to Alfred Morris and force the Redskins to win through the air. Torrey Smith With Ray Rice likely out that is just another blow to an offense that has been dealt with blow after blow. That now leaves Torrey Smith as the main weapon on the Ravens offense. I’m not sold that he can handle that role. Just a year ago he had Anquan Boldin and Dennis Pitta alongside him. With Rice and Jacoby Jones out that is going to hinder Smith’s performances over the next few weeks. Look for Marlon Brown to benefit from the extra attention Smith gets. Mike Wallace Tannehill has looked terrific, but I think this week against Atlanta is going to be a true test of the Dolphins offense. Cleveland and the Colts bottom ten secondary aren’t going to compare to Atlanta, who will force the issue greatly with the way they can score. Miami got Wallace involved with some nifty plays early against the Colts. Atlanta should be able to take those quick routes away and force Tannehill to look in Brian Hartline and Brandon Gibson’s direction. Others To Sit: Joe Flacco, Julian Edelman, Rod Streater, Rashard Mendenhall, Josh Gordon, and James Starks

Fourth Quarter Killers For Week Three

Wednesday, 18 September, 2013

Fourth Quarter Killers For Week Three

Follow@cimini If your diving on your bench and clawing for fantasy points for week three, an area to always look to is players that may be in games that are routs. The value of garbage fourth quarter fantasy points is always there when a team is not giving a concerted effort on defense in the latter parts of games. From a handicapping standpoint it allows backdoor covers to happen. In the world of fantasy sports it gives you an extra six to ten fantasy points to pad to your total. Here is a look at player’s that should rise up this week as fourth quarter killers. Chad Henne Henne is not necessarily starting quarterback material. But he has had some big games when you would least expect it. A few years ago against the Patriots he threw for over 400 yards, and last year as 15 point underdogs against the Texans he threw for over 350 yards and four touchdowns. He has done it before and it wouldn’t be shocking to see Henne have a solid game Sunday. As twenty point underdogs Jacksonville has to be going into Seattle with a bit of a chip on their shoulder. Their coach is the former defensive coordinator of the Seahawks and may have a few plays to expose the aggressive Seattle secondary. Andrew Luck Luck may throw for over 400 yards in this Sunday’s game against the 49ers. The high yards may equate to results Eli Manning has had over the last two weeks when he has been pressed to force the issue. The lack of running game from Indianapolis is going to put a huge burden on Luck. Expect the 49ers to get a ton of pressure on Luck and force him into mistakes early. By the time the latter part of the third quarter occurs, Indy, will be down a considerable amount of points, and forced to resort to Luck throwing the ball near fifty times. Vincent Jackson I expect the Buccaneers to keep staying in games and playing tough as they have against the Jets and Saints. Jackson’s last game against the Patriots as a Charger he had ten catches for over 170 yards and two touchdowns. For Josh Freeman to get his confidence back he is going to need a big game from Jackson. Tampa Bay’s defense is not the problem and may create opportunities for Freeman as they did last week against the Saints. TY Hilton If there is an area teams have attacked early this season against the 49ers it has been their secondary. In nickel packages, Nhamdi Asomugha has been exposed like he did as an Eagle. When TY Hilton comes into spread packages offensively for the Colts, they’ll be gearing to pick on the veteran Asomugha. Pierre Garcon When defenses let up, speed kills even more. For Garcon he has racked up a solid two games to start the season off of second half performances. Washington’s woes start with a defense that has been scorched by the Eagles and Green Bay. Thing don’t get easier this week against the Detroit Lions and Matthew Stafford. If DeSean Jackson and all three Green Bay wide receivers can have mega days, how on Earth can the Redskins attempt to contain Calvin Johnson? Look for Garcon and the Redskins to be trailing yet again in the second half. Cecil Shorts Shorts is the best asset to a Jacksonville offense struggling right now. He’ll have a tough time against a Seattle secondary that does not give up many yards. In order to achieve some success Shorts will have to utilize his speed and ability to run after the catch. Opportunities will present themselves for Shorts in the fourth quarter. Others: Andy Dalton, Antonio Brown, Emmanuel Sanders, Big Ben, Carson Palmer, Michael Floyd