Line Value On Second Go Around Coaches
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Herm Edwards, Jimmy Johnson, Bill Parcells, Mike Holmgren, and the list goes on, were all well-known coaches throughout their tenures in the ranks. One major commonality though was they may have coached for too long. There comes a time when even the most talented coaches can’t get a team to mesh and develop on the field. It’s more of a trend than the opposite effect of going to a team and turning them into a perennial contender. Bill Cowher decided not to re-test the coaching ranks for awhile and may never. He sees and knows the trend, and I think it’s time for sports bettors to do so as well.
That’s why I believe this season there is tremendous line value with Andy Reid, Jeff Fisher, Mike Shanahan,Tom Coughlin, and even John Fox and Bill Bellichick.
Those are quite some names and some distinguished that have already proven their worth on the teams they’re currently coaching. Like Bellichick and Coughlin who have won Super Bowls. That does not automatically guarantee success the following year or years. Coughlin and the Giants have been hot and cold, and when they’ve been hot they’ve barely made the playoffs as six seeds. One can say if they had missed the playoffs those two Super Bowl seasons he would not have a job right now.
The truth of the matter is the Giants have only had seasons of ten wins or more in four of Coughlin’s nine years coaching the Giants. His overall percentage record as a coach is .576. This team going into 2013 has the look of a team ready to crumble. I’ll be keying on games to go against the Giants this season.
For Denver and New England the infatuation starts off with their poor divisions. Both should coast for five to six easy wins in their division. Those wins alone should qualify them for a notch up on other AFC teams to try and secure a bye, as the other divisions are much tougher. Easier play sets up two great things for bettors throughout the season--great underdog lines three to four times on each team, and a moneyline opportunity in the playoffs. I’ll say it right now, that neither the Patriots nor Broncos represent the AFC in the Super Bowl.
The coach with the most pressure on him has to be Mike Shanahan. The RG3 showcase is the new Tim Tebow sensation. The media cannot get enough of RG3 and his play on the field will be scrutinized or over emphasized all season long. In a tough division and NFC that can wear on a young team such as the Redskins mentally. This team lost a string of games before they finished the season on fire with seven in a row. I don’t think the mental fortitude will be there for this team this time around if they lose two or three in a row. Pressure creates tension, and both of those factors are already there. Shanahan’s indecision to pull RG3 from the playoffs last year is going to be a lingering fact that the media will not sidestep all year. If RG3 limps on a play or slows down on an open field run, it’ll all be over analyzed. Shanahan is now 61 years old, and if RG3 fails, he ultimately fails. It won’t take long for Daniel Snyder to go back to his Jerry Jones ways.
As for Andy Reid and Jeff Fisher, I think both teams will be topsy turvy throughout the 2013 season. Fisher in my mind has the better advantage and talent to make a better than expected run in 2013. But that’s not where the media’s mind is right now, as the Rams aren’t projected to do anything. Kansas City on the other hand has enormous expectations.
I don’t know if thinking adding Alex Smith with mediocre offensive talent is going to lead to Andy Reid’s great offensive show. Reid’s teams in Philadelphia use to win with offense. Do people actually think Alex Smith can gun the Chiefs up and down the field? I foresee some major problems starting early on the season off the bat in Jacksonville. Jamal Charles has always had the ability to be a game changer for a game or two, but he is also an over hyped tailback. Downgrade the Chiefs and Reid.
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