Archive for November, 2004

Jets Receivers MIA

Saturday, 6 November, 2004

By Zack Cimini

If you take a look at the New York Jets, they look like they are in great shape. A lot of their wins though have been close ones, and it makes you think are they as good as their 6-1 record? Unless they start winning games better, they?re going to be an early exit out of the playoffs like the Kansas City Chiefs are known for.

First off, every offense revolves around the running game. With Curtis Martin that has been going according to plan, as he has been one of the most consistent backs in the league. So far he has 800 yards rushing and seven touchdowns, well on his way to a trip to Honolulu. The Jets still have nine more games to go though, and Martin is already at 175 carries. They have a very talented backup in Lamont Jordan, and it?d probably be wise to start giving him a few more carries. Even though Martin has resurrected his career this season, there is still the age factor that comes into play. The durability of a veteran isn?t there anymore especially for a running back.

Just imagine the Jets if they lost Curtis Martin for a considerable amount of time? If you?re a Jets fan you?re probably thinking, a star player could go down for any team not just the Jets. That is true but if you?re a serious contender like the Jets, you need to have a backup plan just in case the what if does happen. The Jets offense is so run oriented that they?d be in just as bad of trouble as Miami is without Ricky Williams if they lost Curtis Martin.

Chad Pennington has a great completion percentage, but it?s because he isn?t looking down field. He is only averaging 7.5 yards per completion, and his receivers aren?t involved enough. Santana Moss was coming off a monster season, and he was supposed to add to it. Instead he only has fourteen catches for under 300 yards and zero touchdowns. The Jets also brought in free agent acquisition Justin McCareins who was going to be the perfect complement to Moss. So far McCareins stats are similar to Moss?s except that he has one touchdown.

So what is wrong with this picture? Here is a team with one of the best running games in the league, but it hasn?t led to any of the Jets receivers having a breakout game in seven tries. There is a chance of Moss or McCareins having a monster game every week that goes by which drives a fantasy owner nuts. It just doesn?t happen though, and has led to a lot of owners burying them to their fifth receivers. Any other high powered team with a ground game, has at least one receiver having a great year.

My whole point is that the Jets need to open up their playbook in the passing game. I know they like to play the ball control style, and grind it out like the New England Patriots. But when you have the talented receivers you have, you?ve got to utilize them. Pennington has shown that he is capable of spreading out the offense, and reading defenses so let him do it. If something doesn?t change quickly, the Jets will either start to decline at the end of the season or be a first round playoff castoff. Sooner or later defensive coordinators will figure out a way to shut down Curtis Martin and the Jets running game. Once that happens, Pennington will find himself having to throw it more, which will lead to mistakes. The reason why will be because they didn?t throw the ball enough early on in the season, and the chemistry won?t be there.

First Round Indecision

Wednesday, 3 November, 2004

By Zack Cimini

Back in July and August there were hundreds of thousands of fantasy football drafts going on. Most drafts had running backs going off the board like there wasn?t a crop of average backs to draft later. That leads to quarterbacks and receivers that shouldn?t have slipped, to go in the hands of a team that got a Tomlinson or Holmes with the first or second pick in the draft. That kind of indecision is more than likely destroying some leagues, as that team has an extreme upper hand at running back and wide receiver.

It goes to show that having depth at running back is needed, but don?t rush on taking a back. You should always pick the best available player regardless if he isn?t a running back. More than likely if you passed on Moss, Owens or Harrison you went for a running back like Deuce McAllister, Clinton Portis, or Marshall Faulk. Let?s take a quick analysis on the trade off that you took as a fantasy owner.

Clinton Portis showed in week one that he could be a great pickup and carry his success as a Denver Bronco over to the Redskins. That hasn?t happened though as he has had fumbling problems and been inconsistent. His yardage totals are fine, but for a first round pick you need him to get in the end zone. When you?re a star like Portis, a back like Jerome Bettis shouldn?t have two times the touchdowns you have.

Deuce McAllister?s potential has been high his whole career, but he just can?t seem to take off. In fact, he has the tools to contend with LT and Holmes as the best backs in the league. But New Orlean?s offensive woes and McAllister?s injury problems have haunted them this year. Just like Portis, McAllister has also struggled on holding the football.

Marshall Faulk is aging, but he was still picked in the mid to late first round in most leagues. Owners were just hoping to get the yardage totals from his pass catching skills to go along with decent rushing stats. You just don?t know when to start him anymore, because sometimes the Rams just don?t utilize his skills. That?s the thing that will end up driving Martz out of St. Louis. He just abandons the run too early, and leaves the pressure on Marc Bulger. The owners that picked Faulk, should have went the other route and drafted Tiki Barber who has terrorized defenses.

As an owner with a mid first round pick you probably let Moss, Owens, and Harrison slip by. All of them have already put up solid season numbers especially touchdown wise. Moss and Owens both have eight touchdowns, and Harrison is right behind them with seven. Moss has done all of this and has missed two games with a bad hamstring, and Owens has shown that he really wanted to have Donovan McNabb as his quarterback.

Offenses in the NFL are starting to open up the playbook a lot more than they use to. I think fantasy football is starting to see a takeover in the way they should draft. Four years ago fantasy football was widely dominated by the running back position, but now when you check the weekly results the winners usually come from high point totals from the receivers.

It?s just a part of the game that a running back isn?t going to be as durable as a receiver. Stats from receivers usually stay consistent every year, because they adapt to the NFL?s schemes and coverage, which leads to monster years. So why pass on a receiver that?ll get you 1200 yards receiving and ten plus touchdowns, for a running back that has had a solid year or two but hasn?t shown he can do it over a period of time?

Updated Running Back Rankings

Wednesday, 3 November, 2004

By Zack Cimini

1. Ladainian Tomlinson
2. Priest Holmes
3. Clinton Portis
4. Shaun Alexander
5. Deuce McAllister
6. Ahman Green
7. Fred Taylor
8. Tiki Barber
9. Marshall Faulk
10. Warrick Dunn
11. Curtis Martin
12. Edgerrin James
13. Rudi Johnson
14. Corey Dillon
15. Jamal Lewis
16. Chris Brown
17. Reuben Droughns
18. Willis McGahee
19. Thomas Jones
20. Domanick Davis
21. Kevan Barlow
22. Emmitt Smith
23. Brian Westbrook
24. Travis Henry
25. Duce Staley
26. Lee Suggs
27. Mewelde Moore
28. William Green
29. Kevin Jones
30. Tyrone Wheatley
31. Travis Minor
32. TJ Duckett
33. Jerome Bettis
34. Troy Hambrick
35. Stephen Jackson

Updated Running Back Rankings

Wednesday, 3 November, 2004

By Zack Cimini

1. Ladainian Tomlinson
2. Priest Holmes
3. Clinton Portis
4. Shaun Alexander
5. Deuce McAllister
6. Ahman Green
7. Fred Taylor
8. Tiki Barber
9. Marshall Faulk
10. Warrick Dunn
11. Curtis Martin
12. Edgerrin James
13. Rudi Johnson
14. Corey Dillon
15. Jamal Lewis
16. Chris Brown
17. Reuben Droughns
18. Willis McGahee
19. Thomas Jones
20. Domanick Davis
21. Kevan Barlow
22. Emmitt Smith
23. Brian Westbrook
24. Travis Henry
25. Duce Staley
26. Lee Suggs
27. Mewelde Moore
28. William Green
29. Kevin Jones
30. Tyrone Wheatley
31. Travis Minor
32. TJ Duckett
33. Jerome Bettis
34. Troy Hambrick
35. Stephen Jackson

Updated Quarterback Rankings

Wednesday, 3 November, 2004

Quarterback Rankings
By Zack Cimini

1.Peyton Manning
2.Donovan McNabb
3.Daunte Culpepper
4.Trent Green
5.Tom Brady
6.Matt Hasselbeck
7.Mike Vick
8.Aaron Brooks
9.Drew Brees
10.David Carr
11.Ben Roeslinberger
12. Brett Favre
13. Kurt Warner
14. Chad Pennington
15. Carson Palmer
16. Jake Plummer
17. Joey Harrington
18. Marc Bulger
19. Drew Bledsoe
20. Mark Brunell
21. Jeff Garcia
22. Steve McNair until fully recovered
23. Byron Leftwich
24. Jake Delhomme
25. Vinny Testaverde
26. Tim Rattay
27. Kerry Collins
28. Josh McCown
29. Kyle Boller
30. Jonathan Quinn
31. Chris Simms (No receivers to throw to)
32. Miami?s Fantasy Value is about as good as a Navy QB